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US fatty acid prices are expected to decline further in June 2026, with ChemAnalyst projecting a –5.0% drop as weak surfactant, detergent, and personal care demand continues to suppress buying interest. Crude palm oil CFR Houston remains soft, lowering producers’ cash cost curves and enabling deeper discounts. Gulf Coast operations are stable, inventories are comfortable, and imports—covering 22% of US consumption—are arriving on schedule, reinforcing the bearish tone. Unless Middle East tensions sharply raise bunker premiums and landed costs, June pricing is expected to drift lower. May set the foundation for this decline. Triple pressed fatty acid down 3.99% from April as downstream buyers delayed purchases and feedstock costs eased. Gulf Coast splitters ran smoothly, distributors favored just in time procurement, and seasonal lulls in detergents, surfactants, and personal care reduced spot activity. With no confectionery sector lift and food grade demand stable but unspectacular, sellers trimmed offers to clear positions.
US fatty-acid markets are expected to extend their downward trajectory through June ****, with ChemAnalyst projecting a –*.** month-on-month decline for triple-pressed fatty-acid as weak downstream consumption and easing feedstock costs continue to dominate sentiment. The primary drag remains the softness in surfactants, detergents, and personal-care formulations, where buyers are maintaining strict just-in-time procurement and avoiding forward coverage. With mid-year contracting already completed, distributors are expected to keep inventories lean, reinforcing the bearish tone.
Feedstock signals also point lower. Crude palm oil CFR Houston, which slipped to roughly $*,***/MT between early May and early June, is expected to remain subdued, keeping producers’ cash-cost curves soft and enabling deeper discounts for C** cuts. Gulf Coast splitter and hydrogenation units are projected to run smoothly through June, ensuring ample fatty-acid availability.
Imports—representing about *** of US fatty-acid consumption—are expected to continue arriving on schedule, further...
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