What Kept China Cold Rolled Sheet Prices Firm Despite Elevated Inventories in August?

What Kept China Cold Rolled Sheet Prices Firm Despite Elevated Inventories in August?

Lord Byron 07-Sep-2026
The Chinese cold rolled sheet market transitioned from a stagnant summer lull to a modest recovery in late August, driven primarily by cost-side pressures rather than genuine demand strength. Sustained strength in coking coal and coke prices propelled hot rolled coil costs higher, establishing a price floor for cold rolled sheet. However, underlying demand remained tepid, with automotive and appliance sectors showing weakness and end-users purchasing cautiously. Supply-side developments provided some support, as production discipline among mills and notable inventory drawdowns offered a constructive backdrop for cold rolled sheet pricing, though elevated stock levels continued to cap upside. Early August had seen a range-bound market amid seasonal weakness. Looking ahead, the cold rolled sheet outlook is cautiously optimistic for September, though structural headwinds and the risk of production resumption may limit any sustained cold rolled sheet rally.

The Chinese cold rolled sheet market experienced a notable transformation in the later phase of August ****, transitioning from a stagnant summer lull to a modest recovery driven primarily by cost-side pressures rather than genuine demand strength. According to market data, cold rolled sheet SPCC (*.* mm) Ex-Tianjin prices advanced from $***/tonne on August * to $***/tonne by August **, with the uptick concentrated largely in the final week of the month when prices climbed from $***/tonne to $***/tonne. The pivotal turning point occurred on August **, when sustained strength in coking coal and coke prices propelled hot rolled coil prices. This triggered a notable single-day jump in cold rolled sheet spot prices, with the Guangzhou market leading the national advance. The resulting cold-rolling cost support effectively established a price floor, though the market&#**;s inability to sustain upward momentum highlighted the fragile nature of the recovery.

The late-August rally in...

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