For the Quarter Ending September 2025
North America
• In the United States, the Amyl Alcohol Price Index remained stable in Q3 2025, influenced by mixed macroeconomic signals.
• Amyl Alcohol production costs rose in Q3 2025, driven by a 2.6% year-over-year PPI increase in August 2025.
• A 3.0% year-over-year CPI increase in September 2025 also contributed to higher raw material and energy expenses for Amyl Alcohol.
• Demand for Amyl Alcohol was constrained by 0.1% year-over-year industrial production growth in September 2025.
• Consumer-facing Amyl Alcohol applications benefited from a 5.42% year-over-year retail sales increase in September 2025.
• Amyl Alcohol demand outlook was tempered by declining consumer confidence to 94.2 in September 2025.
• Crude oil prices remained stable in Q3 2025, but U.S. natural gas prices saw an uptick in September 2025.
• The Amyl Alcohol Price Index forecast suggests upward pressure from rising natural gas costs and persistent inflation.
Why did the price of Amyl Alcohol change in September 2025 in North America?
• U.S. natural gas prices rose in September 2025 due to LNG exports, increasing Amyl Alcohol production costs.
• A 3.0% year-over-year CPI increase in September 2025 raised Amyl Alcohol raw material and operational costs.
• Stagnant 0.1% year-over-year industrial production in September 2025 limited demand, offsetting price increases.
APAC
• In China, the Amyl Alcohol Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, influenced by deflationary pressures and contracting manufacturing.
• Amyl Alcohol production costs faced downward pressure from sustained lower naphtha feedstock costs in Northeast Asia during Q3 2025.
• Demand was impacted by a contracting Manufacturing Index in September 2025, signaling reduced industrial activity.
• Despite 6.5% year-on-year industrial production growth in September 2025, overall industrial demand remained subdued.
• Consumer confidence at 89.6 and negative CPI at -0.3% in September 2025 indicated cautious consumer spending.
• China's chemical industry grappled with overcapacity in Q3 2025, intensifying competition and weakening petrochemical margins.
• Global oil inventories surged in September 2025, contributing to downward pressure on energy and feedstock prices.
• China's chemical product exports decreased between August and September 2025, while imports increased, affecting trade flows.
Why did the price of Amyl Alcohol change in September 2025 in APAC?
• Deflationary pressures, with CPI at -0.3% and PPI at -2.3% in September 2025, reduced pricing power.
• Contracting manufacturing activity in September 2025, indicated by the Manufacturing Index, dampened industrial demand.
• Sustained downward naphtha feedstock costs in Q3 2025 lowered Amyl Alcohol production expenses.
Europe
• In Germany, the Amyl Alcohol Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, driven by contracting manufacturing activity.
• Amyl Alcohol demand outlook remained weak due to a -1.0% decline in industrial production in September 2025.
• Production costs faced upward pressure from rising naphtha feedstock costs in Europe during Q3 2025.
• Overall input costs for industrial production declined -1.7% in September 2025, as indicated by the Producer Price Index.
• Lingering overcapacity in the German chemical industry impacted Amyl Alcohol market balance in Q3 2025.
• General inflation, with CPI at 2.4% in September 2025, increased overall production costs for Amyl Alcohol.
• The Manufacturing Index was contracting in Q3 2025, signaling reduced industrial demand for Amyl Alcohol.
• Retail sales saw a modest 0.2% year-over-year rise in September 2025, offering minor support for consumer-related applications.
• Amyl Alcohol price forecast suggests continued stability to slight downward pressure given prevailing market conditions.
Why did the price of Amyl Alcohol change in September 2025 in Europe?
• Contracting Manufacturing Index and declining industrial production reduced Amyl Alcohol demand in Q3 2025.
• Rising naphtha feedstock costs increased production expenses, partially offset by a -1.7% Producer Price Index decline.
• Lingering overcapacity in the German chemical industry contributed to downward pressure on Amyl Alcohol prices.
