For the Quarter Ending September 2025
North America
• In United States, the Cetyl Palmitate Price Index rose quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, driven by increased production costs and solid demand.
• Cetyl Palmitate production costs increased in Q3 2025, influenced by a 2.6% year-over-year PPI rise in August 2025 and elevated energy costs.
• Fatty alcohol feedstock costs, including palm kernel oil, increased in Q3 2025, further elevating Cetyl Palmitate manufacturing expenses.
• Cetyl Palmitate demand outlook is positive, supported by a 5.42% year-over-year retail sales increase in September 2025.
• US beauty industry sales accelerated in Q3 2025, boosting Cetyl Palmitate demand for personal care applications.
• Fatty alcohol inventories tightened in North America in Q3 2025 due to solid demand, supporting upward Cetyl Palmitate price pressure.
• The 4.3% unemployment rate in September 2025, alongside declining consumer confidence (94.2), influenced discretionary spending.
• Industrial production increased a slight 0.1% year-over-year in September 2025, indicating limited expansion in manufacturing.
Why did the price of Cetyl Palmitate change in September 2025 in North America?
• Rising production costs, with PPI up 2.6% year-over-year in August 2025, elevated Cetyl Palmitate prices.
• Robust consumer spending, retail sales up 5.42% year-over-year in September 2025, bolstered Cetyl Palmitate demand.
• Tightened fatty alcohol inventories in North America during Q3 2025 contributed to upward Cetyl Palmitate price trends.
APAC
• In China, the Cetyl Palmitate Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter, influenced by contracting manufacturing activity in September 2025.
• Cetyl Palmitate production costs rose in Q3 2025, driven by increased fatty alcohol feedstock and palm derivative pricing.
• Demand faced headwinds from -0.3% CPI year-over-year in September 2025, indicating weak consumer purchasing power.
• Retail sales grew 3.0% year-over-year in September 2025, supporting Cetyl Palmitate demand in the personal care sector.
• The Manufacturing Index contracted in September 2025, signaling reduced new orders for downstream industries.
• Industrial production grew 6.5% year-over-year in September 2025, providing underlying support for Cetyl Palmitate demand.
• Low consumer confidence at 89.6 in September 2025 curbed discretionary spending on Cetyl Palmitate end-products.
• Tightened fatty alcohol raw material availability in Southeast Asia during Q3 2025 impacted Cetyl Palmitate supply.
• Strong export demand for fatty alcohols to Asian countries supported Cetyl Palmitate trade flows in Q3 2025.
Why did the price of Cetyl Palmitate change in September 2025 in China?
• A -2.3% year-over-year PPI in September 2025 suggested lower input costs or intense price competition.
• Contracting manufacturing activity in September 2025, indicated by the Manufacturing Index, reduced overall demand for raw materials.
• Weak consumer confidence at 89.6 in September 2025 led to reduced discretionary spending on Cetyl Palmitate-containing products.
Europe
• In Germany, the Cetyl Palmitate Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, influenced by lower producer prices and contracting industrial activity.
• Cetyl Palmitate production costs decreased in September 2025, driven by a 1.7% year-over-year decline in producer prices.
• Demand for Cetyl Palmitate faced headwinds from a 1.0% decline in industrial production and a contracting Manufacturing Index in Q3 2025.
• However, Cetyl Palmitate demand was supported by strengthened consumer spending on beauty and personal care in Q3 2025.
• Retail sales in Germany rose by 0.2% in September 2025, suggesting sustained consumer demand for end products.
• Energy costs for European chemical producers remained uncompetitive in Q3 2025, despite easing spot natural gas prices.
• The Cetyl Palmitate Price Index forecast suggests continued stability to slight downward pressure due to mixed market signals.
• Germany's unemployment rate remained stable at 6.3% in September 2025, impacting discretionary consumer spending.
Why did the price of Cetyl Palmitate change in September 2025 in Europe?
• Lower producer prices, down 1.7% year-over-year in September 2025, reduced manufacturing input costs.
• Contracting industrial activity in Q3 2025 and a 1.0% decline in September 2025 dampened overall demand.
• Rising CPI at 2.4% in September 2025 indicated higher general costs, potentially impacting consumer purchasing power.
