For the Quarter Ending December 2025
Crotonic Acid Prices in North America
- In the United States, the Crotonic acid Price Index rose quarter-over-quarter in Q4 2025, driven by increasing production costs.
- Crotonic acid production costs increased in Q4 2025, influenced by strengthening natural gas feedstock prices.
- Industrial production in the United States increased by 2.0% year-over-year in December 2025, supporting Crotonic acid demand.
- Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.7% year-over-year in December 2025, indicating higher operational expenses for producers.
- Producer Price Index (PPI) increased 3.0% year-over-year in November 2025, suggesting rising input costs for Crotonic acid.
- Crotonic acid demand was mixed; retail sales increased 3.3% in November 2025, but manufacturing output declined in Q4 2025.
- Ethylene supply tightened in Q4 2025 due to autumn maintenance cycles, impacting Crotonic acid production costs.
Why did the price of Crotonic acid change in December 2025 in North America?
- Strengthening natural gas prices and tightened ethylene supply increased production costs in Q4 2025.
- Industrial production rose 2.0% in December 2025, boosting demand, despite Q4 2025 manufacturing output decline.
- Rising CPI (2.7% YoY in December 2025) and PPI (3.0% YoY in November 2025) elevated operational expenses.
Crotonic Acid Prices in APAC
- In China, the Crotonic acid Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter in Q4 2025, influenced by weak consumer demand and falling producer prices.
- Crotonic acid production costs experienced upward pressure in Q4 2025, with input cost inflation accelerating in December 2025.
- Crotonic acid demand outlook was mixed; manufacturing activity expanded in December 2025, yet retail sales grew only 0.9% year-over-year.
- The Manufacturing Index expanded in December 2025, indicating increased industrial activity and supporting Crotonic acid demand.
- Industrial production grew by 5.2% year-over-year in December 2025, boosting demand for industrial raw materials like Crotonic acid.
- Methanol feedstock costs showed moderate upward pressure during Q4 2025, contributing to Crotonic acid production expenses.
- Weak consumer demand, reflected by a low CPI of 0.8% year-over-year in December 2025, dampened Crotonic acid market.
- A moderate unemployment rate of 5.1% in December 2025 indicated a stable labor market, indirectly supporting economic activity.
- The assessed price of Crotonic acid for Q4 was 7.35 USD/MT.
Why did the price of Crotonic acid change in December 2025 in APAC?
- Weak consumer demand, with retail sales growing 0.9% in December 2025, dampened Crotonic acid demand.
- Producer prices declined 1.9% year-over-year in December 2025, indicating weak industrial demand.
- Input cost inflation accelerated in December 2025 due to higher raw material prices, impacting production.
Crotonic Acid Prices in Europe
- In Germany, the Crotonic acid Price Index declined quarter-over-quarter in Q4 2025, influenced by contracting manufacturing activity.
- Crotonic acid price forecast indicated continued downward pressure due to subdued industrial demand in Q4 2025.
- Crotonic acid production costs were impacted by significantly elevated European industrial gas prices in November-December 2025.
- Crotonic acid demand outlook was mixed, with contracting manufacturing in December 2025 offsetting modest industrial production in October 2025.
- The Producer Price Index declined by 2.5% year-over-year in December 2025, indicating lower input costs for downstream industries.
- The Manufacturing Index showed a contracting trend in December 2025, signaling a slowdown in overall industrial activity.
- Industrial production increased by 0.8% year-over-year in October 2025, reflecting some underlying industrial activity.
- Consumer confidence remained significantly negative at -17.5 in December 2025, impacting discretionary spending.
- Industrial inventories in Germany saw some reduction in October 2025, while German exports maintained a six-month high.
Why did the price of Crotonic acid change in December 2025 in Europe?
- Producer Price Index declined by 2.5% year-over-year in December 2025, reducing pricing power for manufacturers.
- The Manufacturing Index showed a contracting trend in December 2025, signaling reduced industrial demand.
- Elevated European industrial gas prices in November-December 2025 continued to exert upward pressure on production costs.
For the Quarter Ending September 2025
Crotonic Acid Price in North America
- In the United States, the Crotonic acid Price Index remained stable quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, reflecting mixed market signals.
- Production costs for Crotonic acid rose in Q3 2025, driven by a 0.65% YoY increase in chemical manufacturing PPI in August.
- Ethylene production costs increased in Q3 2025 due to rising natural gas costs and initial tight supply in July.
- Demand for Crotonic acid was supported by robust retail sales growth of 5.0% YoY in August 2025 for consumer goods.
- Industrial production growth of 0.9% YoY in August 2025 boosted Crotonic acid demand for various industrial applications.
- High ethylene inventories and weak export demand in September 2025 moderated the Ethylene Price Index momentum.
- The unemployment rate gradually trended upward to 4.4% in September 2025, indicating a slight labor market softening.
- Increased API manufacturing expansion and new drug approvals in Q3 2025 positively impacted Crotonic acid demand.
Why did the price of Crotonic acid change in September 2025 in North America?
- Rising chemical manufacturing PPI of 0.65% YoY in August 2025 increased Crotonic acid production costs.
- High ethylene inventories and weak export demand in September 2025 pressured feedstock prices.
- Robust retail sales growth of 5.0% YoY in August 2025 supported Crotonic acid demand in consumer goods.
Crotonic Acid Price in APAC
- In China, the Crotonic acid Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, due to easing production costs and deflationary pressures.
- Crotonic acid production costs decreased, supported by a 2.9% year-on-year Producer Price Index decline in August 2025.
- Lower raw material costs for specialty chemicals contributed to reduced production expenses for Crotonic acid during Q3 2025.
- Demand for Crotonic acid was supported by robust automotive sales, increasing 16.4% year-on-year in August 2025.
- New Energy Vehicle production surged 23% year-on-year in August 2025, boosting demand for related chemical inputs.
- The Manufacturing Index showed a slight recovery in September 2025, indicating a narrowing contraction in activity.
- China's chemical product imports increased by 8.6% from August to September 2025, impacting domestic market dynamics.
- Increased imports of Aldehyde Derivatives by 52.2% in August 2025 influenced the Crotonic acid market.
Why did the price of Crotonic acid change in September 2025 in APAC?
- Production costs eased, with Producer Price Index declining 2.9% year-on-year in August 2025.
- Deflationary pressures persisted, as Consumer Price Index decreased 0.4% year-on-year in August 2025.
- Lower raw material costs for specialty chemicals reduced manufacturing expenses during Q3 2025.
Crotonic Acid Price in Europe
- In Germany, the Crotonic acid Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, due to weakened industrial output.
- Crotonic acid production costs decreased in Q3 2025, influenced by a -1.7% Producer Price Index decline in September 2025.
- Demand for Crotonic acid weakened as industrial production declined by -1.0% in September 2025, impacting end-use sectors.
- Demand outlook subdued from weak domestic and export orders in the German chemical industry during Q3 2025.
- Naphtha feedstock costs softened in Germany during Q3 2025, reducing overall Crotonic acid production expenses.
- Retail sales increased by 0.2% in September 2025, offering slight support for consumer-facing products using Crotonic acid.
- Elevated ethylene inventories in July 2025 and increasing import pressures impacted regional Crotonic acid supply.
- The stable 6.3% unemployment rate in September 2025 supported consistent consumer purchasing power for related goods.
- Crotonic acid price forecast suggests stability or downward pressure, given persistent low capacity utilization in Germany.
Why did the price of Crotonic acid change in September 2025 in Europe?
- Producer Price Index decreased by -1.7% in September 2025, reducing Crotonic acid production costs.
- Industrial production declined by -1.0% in September 2025, leading to weaker Crotonic acid demand.
- Increasing import pressures in Q3 2025 and softened naphtha feedstock costs impacted pricing.
