For the Quarter Ending December 2022
North America
Polyol price trend showcased fluctuated during the final quarter of 2022. In the H1 of the quarter, Polyol prices rose on the back of stable consumption levels amid rising inflation. Then the price trend shifted in H2, and product prices started decreasing, and prices declined till the end of Q4. From the mid-quarter, the feedstock Propylene Oxide prices decreased on the back of firm inventory levels and a reduction in upstream WTI Crude oil prices, which reduced the production costs. The product offtakes also plunged from the mid-quarter and remained low till the end of the quarter. In the final month of Q4, the product prices decreased due to low offtakes due to weak manufacturing activities in the downstream automotive sector. At the end of Q4 2022, Polyol prices in the USA settled at USD 4750 /MT.
Asia
In the first month of the quarter, prices increased amid affected feedstock supplies. However, from mid-quarter onwards, the prices started declining due to weak trading activities and an increase in domestic inventory levels in countries like China because of disruption in the supply chain activities amid zero covid controls and a decrease in manufacturing and trade activities. The market situation improved towards the end of the quarter, and Polyol prices fell again due to destocking practices by the regional exporters amid ease in the global freight charges. At the end of Q4 2022, Polyether Polyol prices in China hovered at USD 1300/MT.
Europe
Polyol price trend shifted during Q4 of 2022. For the first couple of months, prices rose amid affected production rates and increased production costs amid input supply shortages because of an explosion at the Beixi pipeline. Simultaneously, the orders and offtakes remained low due to weak demand from the downstream Polyurethane producers and moderate production rates. From the mid-quarter, the facilities started operating moderately amid ease in the input costs and reduced offtakes. Hence the Polyol prices declined in the final month of Q4, and producers decreased their quotations by reducing their profit margins. Polyol prices in Germany settled at USD 2980/MT at the end of Q4 2022.
For the Quarter Ending September 2022
North America
A shift in Polyol’s price trend was seen during Q3 2022. During the H1 of the quarter, the product prices decreased consistently due to the reduction in feedstock Propylene Oxide prices caused by weak upstream prices. Simultaneously, increased inventory levels due to diminished product offtakes negatively impacted product prices. However, in the final month of the quarter, the price trend shifted, and Polyol’s prices rose till the end of Q3 due to an increase in the feedstock and input costs while the demand was moderate from end-user industries. After the end of Q3, Polyol prices in the USA settled at USD 4830/MT, after a marginal decrement of 1% in the previous quarter’s discussions.
Asia
The Asian market showcased a fluctuating price movement of Polyol during the 3rd quarter of 2022, likewise the other international markets. Initially, the prices fell persistently because of weak demand sentiments from downstream industries and decreased feedstock costs. However, in the final month of the quarter, the product price trend revived, and Polyol prices rose till the end of the quarter due to increased upstream price quotations by the exporters, which boosted the production costs. Also, the product inventory levels were affected due to plant shutdown activities as KPX chemical South Korea, with a capacity of 30,000 MTPA, went under shutdown in August. At the end of Q3, China’s Polyether Polyol MW 3000 FOB-Qingdao and Polyester Polyol MW 1700 FOB-Qingdao prices settled at USD 1490/MT and USD 1310/MT.
Europe
A fluctuation in the price movement of Polyol was seen in Germany during Q3,2022. In the H1 of the quarter, product prices declined due to reduced feed and upstream costs caused by dampened demand from downstream industries and increased raw material inventory levels. At the same time, the rationing of input supplies from the Russian exporters resulted in pressure on European manufacturers, and the domestic downstream producers cut their operational rates amid the rising inflation. Also, the high inflation rates, and deteriorating economic situations, depreciated the Euro values against the US Dollar. Subsequently, in the final month of Q3, the price trend shifted, and product prices rose till the end of the quarter due to an increase in the feed Propylene oxide costs and an improvement in product demand from PU producers. After almost a decrease of 9% from the previous quarter’s discussions, Germany’s Polyol prices settled at USD 3100/MT at the end of Q3.
For the Quarter Ending June 2022
North America
The price of Polyol decreased consistently throughout the quarter in the North American region due to the reduction in price quotations from exporting Asian countries like China. A decrement in production costs caused by the contraction in feed Propylene and upstream Naphtha prices decreased the import values in the domestic region, and volatile market dynamics and fluctuating freight costs caused downward pressure on prices. The demand remained stable from the downstream Polyurethane industries. After a significant quarterly decrement of 13% in previous quarter values, the price of Polyether Polyol MW 3000, μ 400-650 CFR Texas got settled at USD 2080/MT at the end of June 2022.
Asia
In the Asian region, the price trend of Polyether Polyol was continuously declining throughout quarter 2 of 2022 as prices were dwindling in key manufacturer China due to continuously declined feed Propylene prices in the region from South Korea. However, at the beginning of June, prices escalated briefly due to upstream cost pressure and increased propylene prices. Manufacturing and trade activities also remained affected due to the lockdown in China and port congestion caused by the clogging of the containers. Excessive stock inventories amid the stagnant demand from importing Polyurethane industries contracted the overall values of Polyols in the region with seasonal offtakes from the market. Post a significant quarterly decrement of 14% in Asia, the price of Polyether Polyol MW 5000 FOB Qingdao settled at USD 1855/MT.
Europe
The price of Polyol fluctuated throughout the quarter in the European region. During H1 of Q2, the prices rose sharply due to increased feed Propylene prices towards the end of Q1, which raised the upward cost pressure on the values. However, Propylene prices contracted in Q2, reducing the production cost of Polyol, and values decreased marginally until the end of the quarter. The demand remained firm with moderate offtakes as shipping activities were affected in the region. After a significant increment of 15% from Q1, the price of Polyether MW 3000, μ 400-650 FOB Hamburg assembled at USD 3110/MT at the end of Q2, 2022.
For the Quarter Ending March 2022
North America
The North American market witnessed an upsurge in Polyol prices during the 1st quarter of 2022 on account of robust downstream demand and increased upstream cost. As concerns regarding dental problems are escalating in countries like the USA, so is the need for Xylitol, eventually causing high demand for Polyol. In the USA, Diabetes and Obesity are two significant problems hence the distress around diabetes and obesity propelled the offtake of Polyol in the domestic market. Furthermore, intensified Propylene Oxide prices have also contributed to the price hike of Polyol in the region. Moreover, skyrocketed crude oil prices, fuelled freight charges, labor shortage, and port congestions are several other factors that have supported the price trend of Polyol in Q1 2022. Conclusively, the prices of Polyether Polyol (µ 400-650) were assessed at USD 4516/MT FOB Texas during March 2022.
Asia Pacific
The prices of Polyol have surged in the Asian market during the 1st quarter of 2022, backed by solid demand from downstream industries and enhanced prices of feedstock. The increased consumption of Polyurethane in foam-based industries propelled the offtake of Polyol in the domestic market. As construction and automotive sectors are in their rising phase in Asian countries, the demand for Polyol from these end-user industries has escalated significantly, leading to its price rise. Furthermore, the prices of Propylene Oxide (feedstock) fuelled in the concerned period, resulting in higher Polyol prices. The escalated crude oil prices amidst Russia-Ukraine war tensions further contributed to the price trend of Polyol across the region along with the congested ports and high freight charges added to Polyols' already augmented prices value in the domestic markets. Hence, in the Indian market, the prices of Polyether Polyol (Mw 3000 & µ 550) were assessed at USD 2798.04/MT Ex-Mumbai during March. However, the trend of Polyol is entirely different in China; the Polyol prices readily fluctuate in the Chinese domestic market during Q1 2022, caused by flickering demand and supply relationship. The evaluated prices of Polyether Polyol (Mw 3000) were at USD 1942/MT FOB Qingdao during March 2022.
Europe
The European market observed growth in Polyol prices during Q1 of 2022, backed by firm demand from several downstream industries. The growing automotive sector drove the demand for flexible Polyurethane foam, which in turn elevated the offtake of Polyol in the domestic market. Besides, the consumption of Polyol was high in the pharmaceutical sector. Furthermore, the demand from electronics, aerospace and construction industries further added to the price value of Polyol. Besides, enhanced prices of its feedstock were another significant factor that escalated the Polyol prices. Moreover, the intensified crude oil prices and freight charges largely supported the Polyol price surge.
For the Quarter Ending December 2021
North America
The North American Polyol market strengthened in October with price shocks that followed the rise in propylene oxide feedstock prices upon the shortage of upstream crude oil inventories in the region. The impact of the devastation from the Ida hurricane in late August remained prevalent during October, as many key refineries operated at low rates causing the whole crude oil value chain to register an upsurge in prices. The downstream polyurethane industries also suffered from low activity amid rallying demand fundamentals in the region. The improving supply chains and the strategic release of crude oil reserves by the USA along with other major countries of the world brought a small relaxation in November, which got boosted in December with recovering domestic Polyol output causing the prices to settle around USD 4180 to USD 4230/MT on FOB basis.
Asia
The tightness in propylene oxide feedstock in the Asian market pushed up the prices of Polyol during October. India, in particular, demonstrated high demand fundamentals while China suffered the wrath of energy shortage which caused the country to reduce production rates under the government’s pressure. The Asian Polyol market in November revealed mixed sentiments as a country-wise difference in trends were observed. In India, the November prices inched further high with festive season robustness in the polyurethane industries coupled with import constraints due to container shortages. As the import volumes enhanced with the relaxation in container challenges during November end the prices started to fall, further plummeting down in December to USD 2617/MT Ex-Mumbai due to expediting stock clearance activities. The Polyol prices in China exhibited a slight decrease during November and a sharp fall in December, settling at USD 2398/MT FOB Qingdao, with improvement in feedstock supplies and enhancing trade activities of the country.
Europe
The repercussions of global crude oil value chain tightness coupled with rallying natural gas prices weighed heavily on the European Polyol market causing the prices to inch upwards incessantly throughout the fourth quarter of 2021. Despite the easing supply chain constraints in the closing days of November, the Polyol manufacturers proceeded to implement positive price revisions in prices owing to the robust demand for the downstream polyurethane products in the upholstery and automobile sectors. The last assessed Germany Polyol prices hovered around USD 3910/MT FOB Hamburg after registering a week-on-week hike of 0.9%. The renewed rise in the upstream market and the force majeure in Dow’s Terneuzen production site in the Netherlands since December first week have again put the polyol supplies at risk in Europe.
For the Quarter Ending September 2021
North America
During the third quarter of 2021, prices of Polyols continued to follow an upward climb tracing the trend of the previous quarters. Inventories remained low as demand for the material strengthened. Furthermore, downstream Polyurethane consumption continued to garner strong numbers which exerted pressure on upstream Polyol prices. Moreover, BASF imposed a temporary turnround at its production site in Geismar, Louisiana which was primarily involved in the production of TDI, MDI and polyols. Besides, several other plant shutdowns came in the aftermath of hurricane Ida which devasted southern states. Prices of polyol after conclusion of Q3 were assessed in the range of USD 4400 – 4500 per MT on FOB basis.
Asia
In Q3 2021, tight supply dynamics of feedstock TDI in China due to planned turnarounds in Shanghai and North China hindered Polyol production in the region in Q3. China has been a critical exporter of material in overall South Asia, thus constrained production in China has translated into price hikes in other countries including India as well. In India, Polyol prices continued to strengthen imitating global trend throughout the quarter. Supply chain disruptions and logistics issues limited the availability of the material in the market that directly exerted pressure on the Polyol market in India and hence fumed its prices.
Europe
During the third quarter of 2021, tightened feedstock supplies continued to hinder Polyol production in Europe. In this quarter, Covestro announced force majeure at its 200 KTPA MDI Brunsbuttel, Germany in early stages of the quarter. Inventory were measured at low levels, weather calamities in the region worsened logistics problems as well as curtailed production of the feedstocks. Covestro and BASF struggled for production in the backdrop of limited availability of raw materials that directly contributed to the inflation in the prices of Polyol in the region.
For the Quarter Ending June 2021
North America
Critical shortage of polyols in USA led to a steep rise in its prices during this quarter, supported by high demand from downstream Polyurethane (PU) sectors. Major downstream PU manufacturers were facing extreme shortage of upstream Polyether polyols, and traders were unable to complete their backlog orders. To rectify this extreme shortage, downstream manufacturers of USA had to import high-priced cargoes from Asia to keep their factories functioning. However, the supply activities, improved slowly by the end of the May as the production activities recovered effectively which were halted since Q1 due to winter devastation. Thus, the offers for Polyether Polyols (MW 3000) price hovered around USD 3915/MT during the final week of June in USA.
Asia
The Asian market witnessed firm sentiments for the product during this period, while the shortage of different grade polyols remained persistent throughout the quarter in all the Asian countries. China based manufacturers, revealed that they had firm demand from domestic and international market during the timeframe, while the availability remained tight. In addition, critical shortage in USA, also bolstered the export demand from China, as supplies were globally tight. Meanwhile in India, prices kept tumbling throughout the quarter, as the demand from the downstream manufacturers reduced effectively under pandemic mayhem. Despite of low spot availability, the prices declined and reached USD 2167/MT for Polyether Polyols during June in India. Chinese polyol prices showed some ease QoQ with Ex-Works Qingdao offers settling at USD 2520 per MT for Polyester polyol.
Europe
Tight supply of polyols in Europe led to an effective rise in the international pricing of the product during Q2 2021. The demand for Polyether polyols remained firm throughout the quarter from the downstream PU segments, while due to global shortage, availability remained inadequate to satisfy the overall demand of the region. In addition, manufacturers were expecting hike in demand from the construction and automotive sector, as the economic activities were picking up the pace. Manufacturing of mattresses picked up with the strong economic rebound noted in Q2 and a large European population spending on home furnishing.
For the Quarter Ending March 2021
North America
The North American market struggled to find balance during Q1 2021, due to winter cold spells faced across the US gulf coast leading to several plant turnarounds. The prices of several polymers and feedstock chemicals were rising due to affected production during the period. Plants of several Polyol producers including DOW and Covestro remained idled during mid of January to end of February. In addition, they have also stated that the production will remain slow due to lower availability of feedstock materials. Dow resumed the operations at its Polyol, Polyurethane, Propylene Oxide, Propylene Glycol, MDI, TDI manufacturing plants during mid-March. Responding to escalation in raw material rates and tightened market supply, Dow increased the prices of its Voranol, Voralux and Specflex Polyol grades by around USD 154.5 per MT with effect from Feb.
Asia
In the Asian markets, Polyols prices experienced a consistent increment throughout the quarter, amid supply shortages and firm demand from the domestic market. Regional output of APAC increased as several upstream plants woke up again after turnarounds in Q4 2020. Lunar holidays hindered the production and consumption of Polyols in China. Although the global supply was disrupted due to winter storm across the US gulf amid fair demand from other regions, which ultimately led to rise in price of Polyols across the region. In India, average price of polyols rose by more than 23% within the quarter. However, it is anticipated that the price acceleration may stop in forthcoming quarter.
Europe
The European market experienced adverse effect of winter storms in the US, and container shortages across major trading routes. Although the regional demand for Polyols remained firm during the period, but supply remained tight due to global shortages. As an effect, price for several Polyol grades skyrocketed during the quarter. Amidst tightened supply, Perstorp, a major global polyols supplier announced to increase the prices of nearly 12 different Polyol products across Europe, Middle East and Africa region, with surges ranging between USD 237.45 per MT to USD 474.89 per MT.
For the Quarter Ending September 2020
Asia
Supply of Polyols remained snug throughout the quarter as steep climb in feedstock prices in China pushed back some of its manufacturers from utilizing their full capacities. Amidst the limited supply, several traders were heard offering Polyol cargoes at premium to incur optimum gains from these market uncertainties. With ease in majority of containment restrictions, offtakes of Polyol cargoes from Southeast Asia showcased major revival in comparison to the last quarter. Despite the antidumping probe imposed on the cargoes of foam mattress originated from Southeast Asia, traders reported of steep increment in demand from the US buyers. In the overall Asian market, buyers were seen restocking Polyol cargoes amidst fears of consistent hike in its feedstock prices in the coming months. Projecting a consistent increment since July, Polyester Polyol Ex-Depot prices on CFR India basis were averaged at USD 1942 per MT in the quarter ending September.
North America
As production rates were curtailed in Q2 due to languished demand, the availability of Polyol remained tight in the third quarter. Plant operating rates were adjusted in July keeping in mind that the demand is likely to stay dampened in the coming months. However, contrary to the perceived notions, the demand for Polyols recovered way faster in Q3 2020 which eventually resulted in a huge dropdown in inventory levels. Better offtakes from segments such as bedding, and furniture helped in achieving sales figures close to the pre lockdown levels. Furthermore, astonishing revival of the automotive sector considerably push up the market fundamentals in North America by the September end.
Europe
Mixed supply sentiments were observed for Polyol in the European market as the unexpected demand recovery surpassed the overall production of Polyols in the region. The supply of Polyols further tightened with reported shortage of feedstock Ethylene Oxide due to issues prevailing in Shell’s Moerdijk cracker and other upstream outages heard across the region. Higher Polyol prices in Asia made European Polyol producers optimistic over enhanced export demand to Middle East. However, slow recovery in the downstream automotive sector affected the quick revival in the European region.
