For the Quarter Ending March 2026
Raisins Prices in North America
- In United States, the Raisins Price Index rose quarter-over-quarter in Q1 2026, driven by surging costs.
- The Raisins Production Cost Trend increased in March 2026 as energy and agricultural labor spiked.
- The Raisins Demand Outlook remained stable in March 2026, supported by 4.0% retail sales growth.
- The Raisins Price Forecast reflected cost-push pressures in March 2026 alongside a 4.0% PPI rise.
- Industrial production grew 0.7%, and the Manufacturing Index expanded in March 2026, sustaining Raisins demand.
- The 4.3% unemployment rate in March 2026 reflected workforce constraints, causing agricultural labor to spike.
- Consumer confidence reached 91.8, and CPI rose 3.3% in March 2026, driving affordable Raisins purchases.
- California grape feedstock acreage plummeted in January 2026 as traditional vineyards transitioned to alternative crops.
- Domestic Raisins inventories accumulated in January 2026, prompting federal procurement interventions to stabilize surplus stocks.
Why did the price of Raisins change in March 2026 in North America?
- Agricultural labor, energy, and fertilizer input costs for grape cultivation surged rapidly during March 2026.
- Federal government procurement demand for Raisins strengthened in January 2026, effectively absorbing excess market supply.
- California grape feedstock availability tightened in January 2026 as vineyards transitioned to alternative crops.
Raisins Prices in APAC
- In China, the Raisins Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter in Q1 2026, driven by a widespread fresh grape feedstock oversupply.
- The Raisins Demand Outlook weakened as the 1.0% CPI increase in March 2026 reflected constrained retail snacking consumption.
- The Raisins Production Cost Trend faced upward pressure from a 0.5% PPI increase in March 2026.
- The Manufacturing Index expanded and industrial production grew 5.7% in March 2026, supporting bulk Raisins processing.
- Retail sales grew only 1.7% while unemployment reached 5.4% in March 2026, limiting discretionary Raisins purchases.
- Consumer confidence hit 91.6 in February 2026, while fresh grape feedstock procurement costs plummeted in Jan 2026.
- Wholesale market stocks of fresh fruit feedstocks piled up in Feb 2026, despite surging Raisins exports.
- The Raisins Price Forecast indicated continued softness due to accumulated domestic fresh grape inventories in Jan 2026.
Why did the price of Raisins change in March 2026 in APAC?
- Fresh grape feedstock procurement costs plummeted in Jan 2026, directly lowering overall Raisins production expenses.
- Domestic supply of fresh fruit feedstocks experienced widespread oversupply in Jan 2026, depressing market prices.
- Consumer purchasing for fresh fruit feedstocks weakened in Jan 2026, reducing downstream Raisins market demand.
Raisins Prices in Europe
- In Germany, the Raisins Price Index rose quarter-over-quarter in Q1 2026, driven by surging grape feedstock costs.
- The Raisins Production Cost Trend increased as inflation reached 2.7% in March 2026, elevating processing expenses.
- Producer prices declined by -0.2% in March 2026, while average electricity prices dropped in Q1 2026.
- The Manufacturing Index expanded in March 2026, which strengthened the wholesale Raisins Demand Outlook for food processing.
- Industrial production remained stagnant at 0.0% in February 2026, while domestic feedstock stock availability expanded in January 2026.
- Retail sales grew by 0.7% in February 2026, and retail demand for grape feedstock stabilized in January 2026.
- The unemployment rate stood at 4.2% in February 2026, supporting consumer demand for quality variants in March 2026.
- Consumer confidence hit -24.7 in March 2026, yet the Raisins Price Forecast remained elevated due to tight supply.
Why did the price of Raisins change in March 2026 in Europe?
- Grape feedstock costs surged in February 2026, directly increasing overall production expenses for regional processors.
- Feedstock supply from major producing regions tightened due to adverse weather conditions in February 2026.
- Regional export costs escalated in January 2026, placing additional upward pressure on final market prices.
For the Quarter Ending December 2025
Raisins Prices in North America
- In the United States, the Raisins Price Index rose quarter-over-quarter in Q4 2025, driven by increased production costs.
- Raisins production costs increased due to a 2.7% year-over-year rise in CPI in December 2025, affecting labor and fuel.
- Industrial input costs for raisin buyers rose 3.0% year-over-year in November 2025, as indicated by the Producer Price Index.
- Raisins demand outlook was bullish, supported by a 2.0% year-over-year increase in industrial production in December 2025.
- Consumer spending on raisin-containing products expanded, with retail sales increasing 3.3% year-over-year in November 2025.
- A 4.4% unemployment rate in December 2025 sustained consumer purchasing power, bolstering overall raisin demand.
- Consumer confidence at 89.1 in December 2025 indicated moderate optimism, supporting continued food spending.
- The Raisins Price Index reflected upward pressure from higher operational expenses during October-December 2025.
Why did the price of Raisins change in December 2025 in North America?
- Rising input costs, with CPI increasing 2.7% year-over-year in December 2025, impacted production.
- Strong consumer demand, evidenced by a 3.3% year-over-year rise in retail sales in November 2025.
- Increased industrial production, up 2.0% year-over-year in December 2025, boosted ingredient demand.
Raisins Prices in APAC
- In China, the Raisins Price Index remained stable in Q4 2025, influenced by subdued consumer demand and weak inflationary pressure.
- Raisins demand was dampened by the low retail sales growth of 0.9% year-on-year in December 2025, reflecting cautious consumer spending.
- Industrial demand for raisins showed resilience as China's Manufacturing Index expanded in December 2025, indicating increased production.
- Raisins production costs faced pressure from a Producer Price Index decline of 1.9% year-on-year in December 2025.
- China's industrial production increased by 5.2% year-on-year in December 2025, supporting industrial consumption of raisins.
- Consumer confidence remained low in Q4 2025, contributing to weak overall agricultural product consumption during the period.
- China's dried fruit exports increased between October and November 2025, while imports decreased, impacting domestic supply.
- The Raisins Price Forecast suggests continued stability or slight downward pressure due to persistent weak consumer sentiment in Q4 2025.
Why did the price of Raisins change in December 2025 in APAC?
- Subdued domestic consumer demand and 0.9% retail sales growth in December 2025 dampened raisin purchases.
- Producer Price Index declined 1.9% in December 2025, creating downward price pressure for food manufacturers.
- Despite expanding manufacturing activity in December 2025, weak consumer confidence limited upward price movement.
Raisins Prices in Europe
- In Germany, the Raisins Price Index fell in Q4 2025, influenced by eased production costs and increased supply.
- Raisins production costs declined in Q4 2025, as agricultural production means eased in October 2025.
- Demand outlook for Raisins was mixed in Q4 2025, with consumer confidence significantly low at -17.5 in December 2025.
- Retail sales in Germany increased by 1.1% year-over-year in November 2025, offering some support for demand.
- Industrial production grew 0.8% year-over-year in October 2025, slightly boosting industrial Raisins demand.
- The Manufacturing Index indicated contracting activity in December 2025, reflecting a slowdown in economic activity.
- Energy costs softened in December 2025, contributing to lower producer prices of industrial products by 2.5% year-over-year.
- Germany's 2025 grape harvest was robust, yielding healthy grapes and increasing overall production volumes.
Why did the price of Raisins change in December 2025 in Europe?
- Producer prices of industrial products in Germany fell by 2.5% year-over-year in December 2025, driven by declining energy costs.
- Consumer confidence remained significantly low at -17.5 in December 2025, impacting discretionary spending.
- Germany's 2025 grape harvest was robust, leading to increased supply and contributing to downward price pressure.
For the Quarter Ending September 2025
Raisins Prices in North America
- In United States, the Raisins Price Index rose quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, driven by strong retail sales.
- Raisins production costs increased, influenced by a 2.6% year-over-year PPI rise in August 2025.
- Consumer prices, with a 3.0% CPI increase in September 2025, impacted consumer purchasing power.
- Demand for raisins was supported by a robust 5.42% year-over-year retail sales increase in September 2025.
- A healthy labor market, with 4.3% unemployment in September 2025, bolstered consumer spending capacity.
- However, declining consumer confidence to 94.2 in September 2025 suggested cautious discretionary spending.
- Industrial production saw a modest 0.1% year-over-year increase in September 2025, offering limited demand support.
- Rising input costs for producers, indicated by PPI, could lead to higher wholesale prices for raisins.
- Strong consumer spending, evidenced by retail sales growth, helped offset some negative inflation impacts.
Why did the price of Raisins change in September 2025 in North America?
- Strong retail sales, up 5.42% year-over-year in September 2025, boosted consumer demand.
- Rising production costs, reflected by a 2.6% PPI increase in August 2025, exerted upward price pressure.
- Declining consumer confidence in September 2025 tempered demand, potentially limiting price increases.
Raisins Prices in APAC
- In China, the Raisins Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, driven by deflationary pressures and contracting manufacturing activity.
- The Consumer Price Index decreased 0.3% year-over-year in September 2025, dampening consumer purchasing power for raisins.
- Raisins demand outlook faced headwinds from a contracting Manufacturing Index in September 2025, impacting industrial usage.
- Retail sales increased 3.0% year-over-year in September 2025, providing some support for direct raisin consumption.
- Raisins production costs were influenced by a 2.3% year-over-year decline in the Producer Price Index in September 2025.
- Pessimistic consumer confidence at 89.6 and a 5.2% unemployment rate in September 2025 pressured discretionary spending.
- Industrial production expanded 6.5% year-over-year in September 2025, indicating sustained output in food processing.
- The Raisins Price Index is forecast to remain stable to slightly falling due to persistent weak demand signals.
Why did the price of Raisins change in September 2025 in APAC?
- Deflationary pressures from the 0.3% CPI decrease in September 2025 reduced consumer demand.
- Contracting Manufacturing Index in September 2025 signaled weaker industrial demand for ingredients.
- Lower Producer Price Index by 2.3% in September 2025 suggested reduced input costs and weak pricing power.
Raisins Prices in Europe
- In Germany, the Raisins Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, driven by contracting industrial production.
- The Raisins Price Forecast suggests stability or slight declines due to persistent weak industrial demand.
- Production costs for Raisins remained elevated in Q3 2025, despite a -1.7% PPI decrease in September 2025.
- Raisins demand outlook was subdued in Q3 2025, as industrial production declined -1.0% in September 2025.
- Consumer purchasing power was constrained by a 2.4% CPI increase in September 2025, impacting direct consumption.
- The Manufacturing Index contracted in Q3 2025, signaling reduced demand from industrial food manufacturers.
- A stable 6.3% unemployment rate in September 2025 limited consumer spending on discretionary food items.
- Stabilizing consumer confidence in Q3 2025 offered some potential demand support, despite market weakness.
Why did the price of Raisins change in September 2025 in Europe?
- Industrial demand for Raisins weakened in Q3 2025, with manufacturing activity contracting.
- Consumer purchasing power was reduced by a 2.4% CPI increase in September 2025, limiting spending.
- Despite elevated operating costs, a -1.7% PPI decrease in September 2025 offered cost relief.
