For the Quarter Ending March 2023
North America
Soda Ash prices witnessed a decline in the first quarter of 2023, primarily due to reduced new orders from downstream sectors such as glass manufacturing and other competitive industries. According to the market Analysis, the global economic slowdown and supply disruptions have substantially obstructed the international market for the commodity. Additionally, international offers were also restricted by weak consumer demand in the face of piled-up stocks amidst persistent inflation across the globe. As a result, Soda Ash prices decreased by about 3% in the first Quarter of 2023. The business activity remained at a slow pace towards the end of Q1 of 2023, driven by the slowed-down operational activities in the downstream sector amidst higher interest rates and modest economic growth.
APAC
The moderate new orders and uncertainties in the supplies of Soda Ash in the Asian market at the termination of the quarter ending March 2023 caused mixed market sentiments for Soda Ash. The overall price trend of Soda Ash prices showed an upward trajectory as a result of reduced inflationary pressure after the fading impact of COVID market-related disruptions and progressively rising demand in the glass manufacturing industry in China. In the first Quarter of 2023, the final Soda Ash prices in the APAC region have been influenced by the tightness in the domestic supplies due to the spring festival holidays at the start of the quarter and high input cost pressure in the regional market.
Europe
The Soda Ash market in Europe has been affected by uncertainties in the market related to industrial worker strikes and crippled operations in the region. The inflationary pressures led to tighter consumer budgets and a slowdown in the European economy. The Soda Ash showed an overall southward price trend in the Q1 of 2023. Moreover, the decline in the Soda Ash prices, also caused by the muted offers from the downstream glass industry, amidst minimal confidence in the automotive sector of the European region and postponed overseas purchase orders in the face of an oversupplied market. Conclusively, the Soda Ash market in Europe faced significant disruptions in the first Quarter of 2023, including the widening of the demand-supply gap.
For the Quarter Ending December 2022
North America
The market for Soda Ash witnessed a downward trend in the Quarter ending December 2022 in North America. The USA's Soda Ash price decline is supported by the muted domestic offers from the downstream glass manufacturing sector and lower export and import prices this Quarter. Meanwhile, an upsurge in energy costs due to the upcoming winter season consumption has led to a slump in downstream production activities amid high pressure on the input costs. In addition, plunging offtakes resulted in the Shutdown of the primary Chlor Alkali-producing chemical plant Covestro at the end of this year in Texas in the regional market. The price of Soda Ash light was quoted at USD 280/MT Ex-Works Wyoming (USA) in December 2022.
APAC
The Soda Ash market showed mixed sentiments by rising in December 2022 in the last Quarter of 2022. The ease in October and November in the Soda Ash prices was supported by the weak downstream offtakes in the domestic market and ample supplies. Downstream production activities have deteriorated in the Chinese market amid Covid curbs and lower consumer confidence. Adequate stock availability and a wait-and-see buying attitude negatively impacted the prices of Soda Ash in Asia. Meanwhile, high inflation resulted in the depreciation of the Chinese and South Korean currencies against the US dollar, which also caused output pressure on Soda Ash in Asia. In December 2022, the commodity price rose due to a rebound in demand from the glass manufacturing industry with increasing offers in solar panel production. Therefore, the price of Soda Ash was assessed at USD 394/MT FOB Lianyungang (China) in December 2022.
Europe
Soda Ash has shown a plunging pricing trend in the European market for Q4 of 2022. In Germany, weak downstream glass manufacturing demand and high input costs led to output pressure on the Soda Ash prices at the end of Quarter 4 of 2022. The European energy crisis has led to an escalation in energy prices, diminishing downstream production activities in the European region. Moreover, the rising market uncertainties and lower export offers for the product in this Quarter also impacted the pricing dynamics of Soda Ash in Europe. The price of Soda Ash Light was assessed at USD 437/MT FOB Stassfurt (Germany) in December 2022.
For the Quarter Ending September 2022
North America
The market for Soda Ash witnessed an upward trend during September ending in North America. In September, the USA's Soda Ash prices elevated significantly, backed by the increasing domestic offers from the downstream automotive glass manufacturing sector. Meanwhile, an upsurge in energy costs amidst high demand and the upcoming winter season has led to northward pressure on the input costs for commodity production in this Quarter. In addition, the declaration of Shutdown in the primary Chlor Alkali producing chemical plant Olin at the end of this year in Texas resulted in Bullish buying sentiments for Soda Ash in the regional market.
APAC
The Soda Ash market showed an overall steady trend in Q3 of 2022. The price trend of Soda Ash showed stability in the price momentum in the South Korean market because of the supply chain disruptions between China and South Korea. Production activities have deteriorated in the Chinese market and, as a ripple effect, caused a shortage of inventories. Insufficient availability of inventories conclusively impacted the pricing dynamics of Soda Ash in Asia. Meanwhile, the significant rise in energy values and the high inflation rate are considered factors for the surge in the pricing dynamics of the commodity. Meanwhile, high inflation resulted in the depreciation of the Chinese and South Korean currencies against the US dollar, which also caused cost pressure on Soda Ash in Asia.
Europe
Soda Ash demonstrated a stable pricing trend in the European market for Q3 2022. In Germany, weak downstream demand and high input costs led to output pressure on the Soda Ash prices at the termination of Quarter 3 of 2022. The high inflation rate and escalating energy prices due to the War resulted in northward pricing dynamics of Soda Ash in the European region. Moreover, a cut in the Russian supplies of Natural gas and a fall in the Rhine River levels amidst the hot season elevated the market uncertainties for the product in this Quarter. Meanwhile, the European currency (Euro) depreciation against the US dollar caused cost pressure on the Soda Ash prices.
For the Quarter Ending June 2022
North America
The market value of Soda Ash fluctuated in the North American market during the second quarter of 2022. Though there was a significant drop in the Soda ash price value during April, the market remained nearly stagnant. Market perceptions of soda ash changed within a stable to constrained range as supply met local demand well. Due to sufficient product supply, prices for soda ash were least influenced even though there was a little increase in import inquiries because of favorable demand in the detergent and glass industries. Altogether, after April, the supply and demand dynamics changed marginally, showcasing only borderline changes in soda ash market sentiments.
APAC
Throughout the second quarter of 2022, Soda Ash's market worth in the Asia-Pacific region fluctuated. Even if the price of soda ash decreased significantly in April, the market stayed unchanged. As local demand and supply matched each other well, market perceptions of soda ash fluctuated within a stable to a limited range. Prices for soda ash were not significantly affected by the product's availability, despite a bit rise in import enquiries because of favourable demand in the detergent and glass industries. Overall, following April, supply and demand dynamics altered very slightly, revealing only minimal shifts in the market sentiment for soda ash.
Europe
The value of the European market for Soda Ash changed over the second quarter of 2022. Even though the price of soda ash sharply dropped in April, the market generally remained steady. The local market's perceptions of soda ash fluctuated within a stable and constrained range because local demand and supply matched well. Despite a little increase in import inquiries due to favourable demand in the detergent and glass industries, the soda ash supply had little impact on prices. Overall, supply and demand dynamics changed very minimally after April, indicating only minor changes in market sentiment for soda ash.
For the Quarter ending March 2022
North America
Soda Ash prices witnessed a significant rise throughout the Q1 of 2022 in North America amidst the appreciable offtakes from the downstream segments such as figured glasses, automotive, construction and cleaning sectors in USA. Rise in Soda Ash prices resulted due to a steep rise in demand from glass and construction segment due to the active pick-up in the domestic market. Domestic manufacturers implemented consistent positive revisions in Soda ash price in the near term as they had no choice but to pass on the additional cost down the value chain to secure their margins. The price of Soda Ash Light was assessed at USD 304/MT on an Ex-Works Wyoming basis.
Asia Pacific
The Asia Pacific Soda Ash market displayed an upward trend in Q1 of 2022 caused by a shortage of supply, first due to the resurfacing of COVID 19 cases in East Asia, second, due to the Chinese government’s winter air pollution control norms that restricted production rates till the tail end of February and finally due to the onset of war in Eastern Europe and the consequent ban on Russian Oil and Gas that led to a sharp rises in Energy prices in APAC region. Soda Ash manufacturers in China have increased their operating rates. Meanwhile, major Soda Ash manufacturers were undergoing maintenance turnarounds in February. Planned turnarounds at Zhouguan Chemicals and Jiangsu Shilian Chemicals in the month of February adversely impacted Soda Ash's supply in China and the international market. Additionally, a resurgence of Covid 19 had also resulted in production cuts under zero covid policy in China in the month of March.
Europe
Soda Ash prices in Europe experienced a hike because of rise in production cost in the European market as manufacturers were compelled to pass on the excess cost of production to the downstream segments in response to soaring energy prices since the last week of February with the onset of war between Russia and Ukraine. A ban on Russian oil and gas by EU nations led to energy costs skyrocketing in the month of March. The prices of dense Soda Ash and light soda ash in Germany were assessed at USD 507/MT and USD 476 MT in the month of March respectively, on an FOB Hamburg basis. Land freight costs have seen a sudden spike in the aftermath of the war due to increase in fuel prices adding to the woes of downstream paper & pulp, and food industries.
For the Quarter Ending December 2021
North America
Market sentiments of Soda Ash fluctuated in a stable to narrow range with supply successfully catering to the regional demand. Even though there was a marginal rise in import enquiries for Soda Ash due to favorable demand in the detergent and glass industry, but due to sufficient availability of the product, its prices were least affected. Soda Ash Dense prices in November-December period were assessed near USD 170 per MT Ex-Works Wyoming. In December, Sisecam, a Turkish Glass manufacturing company announced the acquisition of 60% Soda Ash business of Ciner Group in USA.
Asia
In the first half of the quarter ending December, Soda Ash prices in China witnessed a steep climb following the restricted production activities in compliance dual control policy. As the economies recovered substantially in the quarter, the effect of tight supply was viably visible in the regional market. Amidst favourable demand due to the festive season and rise in salt prices, prices of Soda Ash in India soared for cleaning and construction applications. However, towards the end of the quarter, normalcy in the operating rates and the year end slowdown narrowed the demand and supply gap which eventually caused a gradual yet consistent drop in prices throughout December. Soda Ash Light values in India in the quarter ending December fluctuated in the range USD 341-USD 350 per MT Ex-Chennai. While in China, Soda Ash prices remained rangebound between USD 450-USD per MT FOB Lianyuangang.
Europe
Soda Ash price in Europe fluctuated in a stable to firm range following steady demand from downstream detergent and construction industry. Reduced operating rates due to the climatic factors and high energy prices in early Q4 positively affected Soda Ash prices in Europe. Availability marginally increased in December, with increase in operating rates in some of the plants. Traders maintained consistent purchasing amidst favorable demand. Light Soda Ash prices were assessed around USD 300 per MT FOB Stassfurt (Germany) in December.
For the Quarter Ending September 2021
North America
After the occurrence of the climate calamities in the US Gulf region, the prices of Soda Ash witnessed a steep rise in the domestic market backed by high demand in Q3 2021. US-based Ciner Resources, the world’s largest natural soda ash producer from Trona ore, Wyoming observed that its Q2 sales were increased on the back of the healthy economic recovery in the USA. The market experienced balanced supply and demand fundamentals throughout the 3rd quarter, however many market participants reported that the Soda Ash market has re-shifted balance due to the growing demand and increasing cost of raw materials. The ex-works prices observed a consistent surge and settled at USD 190/MT in September.
Asia Pacific
During the third quarter of 2021, the Soda Ash market in the Asia Pacific region experienced an upward trajectory backed by the cost support of the upstream feedstock Caustic Soda. The prices of raw materials in the Chinese domestic market constantly observed an uptrend due to the high freight costs and shortages of containers which further impacted the supply of Soda ash in China. The demand for Soda Ash is highly driven by rising construction activities in the Asia-Pacific region. In India, EXW prices of Soda Ash grew significantly from USD 255/MT to USD 293/MT within the quarter. The demand rose at an exponential pace in China and India from the downstream industries including construction, glass, paper, textiles, etc. in Q3 2021.
Europe
In Europe, the prices of Soda Ash observed an uptrend followed by the exorbitant cost of raw material and disrupted logistics. Sudden increment in the prices of energy affected the overall production cost of Soda Ash in the region during Q3. Moreover, the mixed price trend of raw materials led to very thin margin for regional manufacturers. Demand remained firm from the downstream glass and detergent industry in Q3 2021. Inflationary pressure due to the global pandemic further affected the overall price trend of Soda Ash. The price of Soda Ash (Light) in Germany was assessed at USD 266/MT FOB Stassfurt in September 2021.
For the Quarter Ending June 2021
North America
After the setback from the polar winter storm in the US Gulf region which knocked out three fourth of the chlor-alkali production, majority of operations have been restored as 70% of the key feedstock Caustic Soda facilities have resumed manufacturing in the first half of the quarter. However, the supply-demand imbalance was witnessed in the later half. It was observed that the US chlor-alkali capacity fell by 6% on m-o-m basis in May, amidst the operational issues due to equipment failure at Formosa facility in Westlake Texas in early June. As a ripple effect ANSAC hiked the prices of the exported Soda Ash by USD 25 per tonne in June.
Asia Pacific
In China, Soda Ash market outlook strengthened amidst the cost support of the key feedstock Caustic Soda. Feedstock prices in the Chinese domestic market constantly observed an uptrend due to the rising cost pressure on raw material in China. As a ripple effect, prices observed a consistent surge with FOB Shanghai discussions settling at USD 261 per tonne. The supply outlook in China remained influenced by the joint impact of curtailed synthetic Soda Ash production, and higher shipping freight charges. However, export to India declined in April and May period due to a decline in demand from Covid second wave.
Europe
According to the major European producer in Belgium “demand recovered across the region after the ease in restrictions imposed amidst the second COVID wave in Europe.” Demand outlook revived effectively compared to the previous quarter as the mass vaccination drive amplified the market movement, leading to better commercial and industrial activities. Whereas the pricing trend remained buoyed in the European region with a combined impact of higher freight charges and rising lobal inflation.
For the Quarter Ending March 2021
North America
The North American Soda Ash market remained tight during the Q1 2021, as the USA Gulf regional plants were compelled to shut down due to the power outages caused by the sub-zero temperature during mid-February. Furthermore, arbitrage and export agreement between TATA Chemicals and ANSAC ended in early January putting significant constraints on supplies in the regional market. Demand strengthened amidst limited availability and firm consumption from the soap and detergent segment in the region. Due to the heavy shipping charges, ANSAC announced a hike of +USD 25/MT on Soda Ash, whereas the FOB Texas prices settled at USD 248/MT for the April deliveries.
Asia-Pacific (APAC)
The Asia Pacific Soda Ash market remained stable during the first quarter of 2021. The supplies were ample, as the downstream enquiries declined from several industries but significant offtakes from the Soap and detergent sector as a result of firm demand, balanced to market fundamentals throughout the quarter. Even at times of sluggish offtakes, price parity was witnessed due to the higher freight rates. Prices of Soda Ash in FOB Shanghai during March settled at USD 245 per MT.
Europe
The European Soda Ash market remained balanced to tight during the first quarter of 2021. Several plants operated normally throughout the quarter however, hindrance was witnessed due to the transportation lag as the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp route were disrupted amid cold weather. Demand remained constant as the offtakes from the downstream sector were ample. Solvay initiated carving out its Soda Ash and derivatives segment as a separate legal entity procedure before selling a business.
For the Quarter Ending September 2020
North America
Despite improved performance of some of the downstream Soda Ash consumers, overall product demand has shown no considerable movement during the third quarter. Although there was the slight improvement in demand outlook during some months, the overall demand has remained pressured under the economic fallout throughout H22020. Several Soda Ash producers were heard operating at reduced efficiencies to manage their inventory levels. The US manufacturer Genesis Alkali put on hold its Trona based plant located in Granger Wyoming till September which was later extended till the end of the year, further affecting the export volumes.
Asia
Asia’s Soda Ash market is anticipated to remained suppressed by ample supplies, particularly in northeast Asia due to rising output and completion of plant turnarounds. On the supply side, Chinese producers lifted the operating rates to reach normalcy to cater to the consistent demand. However, relatively sagging demand resulted in the pile-up of huge stocks of Soda Ash, with inventories in China reaching their peak by the end of Q3. This high stock resulted in the significant fall in export and import prices of Soda Ash in China during the quarter. Overall Soda Ash industry is weakly organized with Indian players still eyeing on pick up in demand patterns amid pandemic-induced slowdown. With producers highlighting weak downstream demand, FOB China Soda Ash prices were assessed at the USD 185 per tonne levels in mid-August.
Europe
Throughout Europe there is little change in the market conditions of Soda Ash. Major soda ash players claimed that there is a little change in the pricing in the third quarter as producers are preparing to lift the market conditions. The announcement of Ciech to suspend the operations at its Romanian unit in Govora, had the little effect on overall Soda Ash supply. Key producers of Soda Ash stated that margins have been squeezed, pressured under the weak demand across the region as they could hardly see any improvement in the consumption patterns in the upcoming quarter.
