For the Quarter Ending September 2025
North America
• US Sodium Caseinate Price Index fell in Q3 2025, due to lowered milk prices and overabundant supply.
• Sodium Caseinate production costs lowered by Class III and Class IV milk prices in Q3 2025.
• Producer Price Index rose 2.6% year-over-year in August 2025, increasing manufacturer input costs.
• Energy costs rose, with US natural gas prices increasing year-over-year in Q3 2025.
• Demand for Sodium Caseinate strengthened in Q3 2025, supported by high-protein diet consumer preference.
• Retail sales increased 5.42% year-over-year in September 2025, indicating robust consumer spending.
• Industrial production grew 0.1% year-over-year in September 2025, limiting Sodium Caseinate industrial demand.
• Dairy product inventories increased in Q3 2025 due to overabundant milk supply, affecting market balance.
• Unemployment rate was 4.3% and Consumer Confidence declined to 94.2 in September 2025.
• Consumer Price Index rose 3.0% year-over-year in September 2025, reflecting general inflation.
Why did the price of Sodium Caseinate change in September 2025 in North America?
• Lowered Class III and Class IV milk prices in Q3 2025 reduced primary feedstock costs.
• Overabundant US milk supply in Q3 2025 increased inventories, exerting downward price pressure.
• Rising energy costs, including natural gas and electricity, increased manufacturing expenses in Q3 2025.
APAC
• In China, the Sodium Caseinate Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, influenced by weak consumer confidence and dairy oversupply.
• Sodium Caseinate production costs trended lower in Q3 2025, with raw milk feedstock prices remaining low and fodder costs decreasing in July 2025.
• Industrial natural gas prices fell moderately in China during Q3 2025, further reducing overall production expenses.
• Consumer confidence remained soft at 89.6 in September 2025, contributing to a bearish Sodium Caseinate demand outlook.
• The Manufacturing Index contracted in September 2025, signaling reduced industrial activity and impacting Sodium Caseinate demand.
• Despite a -0.3% CPI in September 2025, retail sales grew 3.0% in September 2025, supporting some consumer-driven demand.
• Industrial production increased by 6.5% in September 2025, providing a bullish signal for industrial Sodium Caseinate applications.
• The dairy industry experienced oversupply in 2025, with skim milk powder and whey import volumes decreasing in Q3 2025.
Why did the price of Sodium Caseinate change in September 2025 in APAC?
• Weak consumer confidence (89.6 index) and negative CPI (-0.3%) in September 2025 dampened demand.
• Low raw milk feedstock prices and falling natural gas costs reduced production expenses in Q3 2025.
• Dairy industry oversupply and a contracting Manufacturing Index in September 2025 exerted downward price pressure.
Europe
• In Germany, the Sodium Caseinate Price Index experienced mixed pressures quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, influenced by varied economic indicators.
• Production costs were impacted by elevated farmgate milk prices in Europe during Q3 2025, a key feedstock for Sodium Caseinate.
• Producer prices of industrial products fell 1.7% in September 2025, easing energy-related production costs for manufacturers.
• Demand for Sodium Caseinate in Germany saw steady growth in Q3 2025, driven by the expanding food and beverage sector.
• Germany's Manufacturing Index contracted in Q3 2025, indicating reduced industrial activity for Sodium Caseinate applications.
• Industrial production declined by 1.0% in September 2025, dampening demand for industrial Sodium Caseinate uses.
• Retail sales in Germany rose by 0.2% in September 2025, supporting consumer demand for food products containing Sodium Caseinate.
• The unemployment rate remained stable at 6.3% in September 2025, potentially constraining discretionary consumer spending.
Why did the price of Sodium Caseinate change in September 2025 in Europe?
• Elevated farmgate milk prices in Europe during Q3 2025 increased raw material costs for Sodium Caseinate production.
• Lower producer prices, down 1.7% in September 2025, reduced energy costs for Sodium Caseinate manufacturers.
• Contracting Manufacturing Index in Q3 2025 and declining industrial production impacted demand for industrial applications.