For the Quarter Ending March 2025
North America
• The Stainless Steel Round Bar Price Index in North American market witnessed a decline of around 1.3% in Q1 2025, with the spot price settling at USD 6279/MT for 25 mm material (DEL Philadelphia, USA).
• Why did the price of Stainless Steel Round Bar change in April 2025?
The price decline in early April grew from subdued demand due to economic uncertainties, while supply remained stable owing to consistent production rates, thereby creating an imbalance.
• The Stainless Steel Round Bar Demand Outlook weakened, reflecting restrained purchasing activity across key sectors and overall bearish sentiment in the region.
• The Stainless Steel Round Bar Production Cost Trend remained relatively steady; however, supply chain disruptions and broader economic concerns pressured downstream activity.
• Seasonal trends and domestic market volatility in the USA notably influenced pricing, further dragging down the regional Price Index.
• Moving forward, businesses must track shifts in supply-demand metrics and economic indicators to adapt to ongoing price volatility.
• Overall, Stainless Steel Round Bar Price Forecast for the coming months remains conservative, given the uncertain demand environment.
Europe
• The Stainless Steel Round Bar Price Index in Europe showed a 1% increase in Q1 2025, closing at USD 3970/MT for 25 mm SS 304 Round Bar (Ex Ruhr, Germany).
• Why did the price of Stainless Steel Round Bar change in April 2025?
Early April's price rise was primarily due to supply constraints, including port congestion, longer shipping times, and plant-level disruptions that squeezed availability.
• The Stainless Steel Round Bar Demand Outlook remained resilient despite production issues, supported by recovering industrial activity and regional construction demand.
• Environmental regulations, particularly the EU Emissions Trading System, drove up the Stainless Steel Round Bar Production Cost Trend, adding to price pressures.
• Freight costs surged due to equipment shortages and longer logistical routes, further supporting upward price momentum in the Price Index.
• Germany led regional price increases, sustaining bullish sentiment across Europe throughout the quarter.
• The Stainless Steel Round Bar Price Forecast for the region indicates sustained firmness if supply-side constraints and environmental compliance costs persist.
APAC (Asia-Pacific)
• The Stainless Steel Round Bar Price Index in the APAC region dropped 6.2% in Q1 2025, with prices ending at USD 2090/MT for 50 mm SS 304 Round Bar (Ex Dainan, China).
• Why did the price of Stainless Steel Round Bar change in April 2025?
Early April saw continued price declines due to oversupply from China, where producers pushed volumes into the market amid sluggish demand.
• The Stainless Steel Round Bar Demand Outlook was weak, as global economic slowdown weighed heavily on industrial and manufacturing consumption across the region.
• China faced the steepest declines, as producers offered steep discounts to manage inventory, further deteriorating the Price Index.
• Despite oversupply, Stainless Steel Round Bar Production Cost Trend remained stable, as Chinese plants operated without major disruptions, maintaining smooth supply chains.
• The competitive pricing environment, driven by inventory pressure, defined the quarter’s bearish sentiment.
• The Stainless Steel Round Bar Price Forecast points to potential stabilization only if production is curtailed or demand recovers in downstream sectors like construction and transportation.
For the Quarter Ending December 2024
North America
The North American Stainless Steel Round Bar market experienced a challenging fourth quarter in 2024, characterized by declining prices amidst fluctuating market conditions. Prices ended the quarter at USD 6,171/MT for Stainless Steel Round Bar (25 mm) DEL Philadelphia in the USA, reflecting a 2% decline compared to the previous quarter.
Several factors drove this negative trend. Supply levels increased due to consistent production, maintaining sufficient availability in the market. However, demand declined, restrained by broader economic uncertainties and subdued purchasing activity. The imbalance between supply and demand contributed to a challenging pricing environment, with bearish market sentiment dominating throughout the quarter.
Seasonality played a notable role in the price movements, mirroring the typical trends in the final months of the year. While global economic uncertainties continued to influence the market, the USA saw the most significant domestic price fluctuations, further dragging down the regional pricing landscape. Supply chain disruptions added to market sluggishness, compounding the overall challenges faced by the sector. Moving forward, careful monitoring of economic trends and supply-demand metrics will remain critical to navigating this subdued market environment.
Europe
The European Stainless Steel Round Bar market experienced a bearish pricing environment in Q4 2024, with prices declining by 1% quarter-on-quarter. The quarter concluded with SS 304 Round Bar (25 mm) Ex Ruhr in Germany priced at USD 3,876/MT, reflecting downward shifts in market dynamics. Several factors contributed to this decline. Global economic uncertainties weighed heavily on market sentiment, while weak demand from key industrial sectors exacerbated the sluggish environment. Efforts by producers to align supply with market conditions were challenged by increased supply levels that outpaced demand, leading to imbalanced market fundamentals. Additionally, Germany saw the most notable price adjustments in the region. Although prices remained relatively steady compared to the same quarter last year, imbalances in supply and demand exerted downward pressure throughout the quarter. Operational difficulties facing the broader German economy further added complexity to the market environment. The overall sentiment for Stainless Steel Round Bar in Europe during Q4 2024 remained bearish. As supply continued to outstrip demand, market players remained cautious, closely monitoring economic developments and their impact on market dynamics.
APAC
The APAC Stainless Steel Round Bar market faced sustained downward pressure in Q4 2024, with prices declining by 3% compared to the previous quarter. The quarter-ending price for SS 304 Round Bar (50 mm) Ex Dainan in China was recorded at USD 2,112/MT, underscoring the continued negative sentiment in the market.
Oversupply emerged as a key factor driving the declines, particularly from China, which dominated regional production. High supply levels created a competitive market environment, with producers offering significant discounts to clear inventory. Weak demand compounded the issue, driven by the global economic slowdown that affected manufacturing and services sectors. This imbalance between supply and demand led to consistent downward price movement throughout the quarter.
China bore the brunt of these challenges, experiencing the most significant price changes in the region. The bearish market sentiment reflected persistent oversupply and muted consumption, especially in major end-use sectors. Despite these difficulties, plant operations faced minimal disruptions, providing reliability in supply flows across the market. The overall quarter was defined by declining prices, reflecting the structural imbalance in market fundamentals.
For the Quarter Ending September 2024
North America
In Q3 2024, the North American Stainless Steel Round Bar market remained stable, with prices showing little fluctuation. Additionally, Various factors influenced market prices during this period. Additionally, supply remained consistent, with adequate availability of Stainless Steel Round Bar. Moreover, Demand held steady, supported by ongoing economic activities and manufacturing trends. While global economic uncertainties persisted, the market in North America remained resilient, maintaining a balanced pricing environment.
The USA, experiencing the most significant price changes within the domestic market, saw a marginal decrease compared to the same quarter last year. Furthermore, Overall trends indicated a stable pricing landscape, with minimal movement recorded from the previous quarter. Additionally, Seasonality and correlation in price changes were notable, reflecting a consistent market sentiment. Despite challenges such as supply chain disruptions, the market maintained its stability.
As the quarter concluded, the price for Stainless Steel Round Bar (25 mm) DEL Philadelphia in the USA stood at USD 6373/MT, indicating a steady pricing environment throughout Q3 2024.
Europe
In Q3 2024, the European Stainless Steel Round Bar market remained stable, with prices showing no significant fluctuations. Various factors influenced market prices during this period, including global economic uncertainties, steady demand from industrial sectors, and efforts by producers to adjust to changing market conditions. The market was characterized by moderate supply levels and moderate demand, with no major disruptions reported.
Germany experienced the most significant price changes in the region, with prices remaining relatively steady compared to the same quarter last year. The quarter recorded a reflecting a consistent pricing trend due to demand and supply remain balanced. Overall trends indicated a stable pricing environment, with no drastic shifts in market dynamics. Additionally, the German economy faces some challenges, with operational difficulties affecting the industry. Furthermore, despite these challenges prices of Stainless-Steel Round Bar remain stable in German market.
The quarter-ending price for SS 304 Round Bar (25 mm) Ex Ruhr in Germany was USD 3876/MT, underscoring the stable pricing sentiment observed throughout the quarter.
APAC
In Q3 2024, the APAC region experienced a challenging period for Stainless Steel Round Bar pricing, marked by decreasing prices. Several significant factors influenced market prices, including oversupply, weak demand, and economic uncertainties. High supply levels, particularly from China, created a competitive environment, leading to price declines. The global economic slowdown, especially in the manufacturing and services sectors, contributed to dampened demand, further pressuring prices downwards.
China, as a key player, witnessed the most significant price changes, with stainless steel facing bearish conditions and substantial discounts due to oversupply. Despite these challenges, the market remained stable, with prices showing a consistent decrease throughout the quarter. The quarter saw a price comparison between the first and second half, resulting in a slight decline of 1%.
The quarter-ending price for SS 304 Round Bar (50 mm) Ex Dainan in China stood at USD 2271/MT, reflecting the prevailing negative sentiment in the pricing environment. Disruptions in plant operations were minimal during the quarter.
For the Quarter Ending June 2024
North America
In Q2 2024, the Stainless Steel Round Bar market demonstrated stable pricing in North America, driven by various market dynamics. Factors such as supply consistency, moderate-to-high demand, and regulatory influences played pivotal roles in maintaining price stability. The market's ability to adapt to changing raw material costs, particularly nickel, and efficient production strategies were significant contributors. The lack of major plant shutdowns or disruptions ensured a steady supply chain, bolstering market equilibrium.
In the USA, where the most notable price changes occurred, the quarter experienced a stable pricing environment. This stability was influenced by balanced supply-demand conditions and consistent manufacturing output. The quarter's overall trends showed resilience against global economic uncertainties, with the steel market benefiting from steady automotive and construction sector demands. Seasonality impacts were minimal, reflecting a balanced market devoid of extreme fluctuations.
Comparing Q2 2024 to the previous quarter, the market saw a -7% price change. However, the price comparison between the first and second half of the quarter indicated no significant variation. The quarter concluded with a price of USD 6405/MT for SS 304 Round Bar (25 mm) DEL Philadelphia in the USA.
Overall, the stable pricing environment suggests a balanced market sentiment, with neither overly positive nor negative influences dominating the quarter. The consistent supply and demand, coupled with strategic market adjustments, ensured a stable pricing trajectory throughout Q2 2024.
Europe
In Q2 2024, the European Stainless Steel Round Bar market experienced a robust price surge, driven by multiple complex factors. Elevated inflation rates, regulatory shifts, and fluctuating energy costs profoundly influenced market dynamics. The introduction of the EU Critical Raw Materials Act (CRMA) played a pivotal role, setting stringent benchmarks for domestic production and processing capacities, aiming to reduce the reliance on non-EU sources. Concurrently, substantial increases in nickel and molybdenum prices escalated alloy surcharges, contributing to rising stainless steel costs. Market sentiment was further influenced by the European Central Bank’s interest rate cut aimed at stimulating economic confidence, although it was partially offset by heightened shipping costs due to geopolitical tensions impacting major maritime routes.
Germany witnessed the most significant price changes in the quarter, with stainless steel prices reflecting an upward trend. The automotive sector's resurgence, evidenced by a notable rise in new car registrations, bolstered demand. However, the broader manufacturing sector exhibited mixed signals, with a deceleration in some areas. Despite the ongoing challenges, the overall pricing environment remained positive, characterized by a 0.7% price increase in the second quarter as compared to the first.
No major plant shutdowns disrupted the market during this period, maintaining a steady supply flow. The quarter's closing price for SS 304 Round Bar (25 mm) Ex Ruhr in Germany stood at USD 3838/MT, reflecting a consistent upward trajectory and robust market confidence.
APAC
In Q2 2024, the pricing environment for Stainless Steel Round Bar in the APAC region has been predominantly stable. Several significant factors have contributed to this stability. Primary among them is the delicate balance between supply and demand, maintained by consistent production rates without major disruptions or plant shutdowns. The automotive and construction sectors have exhibited moderate but steady demand, counterbalancing any potential downtrends from seasonal slowdowns. Furthermore, steady raw material costs, especially for nickel, have prevented significant price volatility.
Focusing on China, which has experienced the most notable price changes, the market trends reveal a nuanced picture. The overall trends indicate a stable market with a slight upward trajectory in prices driven by high production costs and tight nickel pig iron (NPI) supply. Seasonality played a critical role, with post-holiday slowdowns followed by a gradual recovery in demand. The correlation in price changes reflects a market adjusting to internal and external pressures, including global economic conditions and domestic stimulus measures.
Comparing the first and second halves of the quarter, prices remained stable with no significant variation. The percentage change from the previous quarter in 2024 was recorded at 2%, underscoring the marginal increase. The latest quarter-ending price for SS 304 Round Bar (50 mm) Ex Dainan in China stands at USD 2289/MT, reflecting a stable pricing environment. This period has been characterized by positive sentiment, showcasing the sector's resilience amidst fluctuating global market dynamics.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs):
1. What is the current price of Stainless Steel Round Bar in the US?
o As of Q1 2025: USA (Philadelphia): USD 6279/MT (25 mm)
2. What is the current price of Stainless Steel Round Bar in Germany?
o As of Q1 2025: Germany (Ruhr): USD 3970/MT (25 mm)
3. What is the current price of Stainless Steel Round Bar in China?
o As of Q1 2025: China (Dainan): USD 2090/MT (50 mm)
4. What factors affect the Stainless Steel Round Bar Production Cost Trend?
• Key factors include raw material costs (nickel, chromium), energy prices, environmental compliance costs (e.g., emissions trading), labor costs, and operational efficiency.
5. What is the Stainless Steel Round Bar Demand Outlook for 2025?
• Demand is expected to remain mixed globally. While Europe shows moderate recovery, North America may remain sluggish, and APAC could see improvement only if oversupply issues are resolved and end-user demand revives.
