For the Quarter Ending September 2025
North America
• In the U.S., Valeric Acid Price Index slightly fell in Q3 2025, reflecting minor basic organic chemicals PPI decline.
• Valeric Acid production costs were influenced by natural gas prices averaging USD 3.81 per MMBtu in Q3 2025.
• Demand for Valeric Acid was supported by growth in U.S. flavors, fragrances, and pharmaceutical intermediates markets.
• U.S. synthetic lubricants and agrochemicals market growth contributed to the Valeric Acid demand outlook.
• Retail sales for health and personal care stores slightly declined from July to August 2025, impacting related demand.
• U.S. chemical product shipments increased by 0.26% in July 2025, indicating stable inventory trends.
• Freight costs increased in Q3 2025, with spot and contract rates rising, impacting Valeric Acid logistics.
• Policy changes, including EPA SNUR corrections in July and August 2025, influenced the regulatory landscape.
Why did the price of Valeric Acid change in September 2025 in North America?
• Basic organic chemicals PPI slightly declined from July to August 2025, influencing Valeric Acid pricing.
• Natural Gas prices averaged USD 3.81 per MMBtu in Q3 2025, impacting Valeric Acid production costs.
• Food and beverage retail sales increased in August 2025, while health/personal care sales slightly fell.
Europe
• In Germany, the Valeric Acid Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, driven by subdued industrial demand.
• Valeric Acid production costs decreased in Q3 2025, influenced by softened naphtha feedstock prices and lower producer prices.
• Demand for Valeric Acid was challenged as Germany's industrial production declined by 1.0% in September 2025.
• The Manufacturing Index contracting in Q3 2025 indicated reduced overall industrial activity, impacting Valeric Acid demand.
• Despite a 0.2% rise in retail sales in September 2025, consumer confidence showed only a stabilizing trend.
• Valeric Acid supply tightened regionally in Q3 2025 due to announced plant shutdowns by a major European producer.
• German chemical industry capacity utilization remained low in Q3 2025, suggesting elevated inventories or weak demand.
• Lower producer prices, down 1.7% in September 2025, reduced input costs for Valeric Acid manufacturers.
Why did the price of Valeric Acid change in September 2025 in Europe?
• Lower producer prices, down 1.7% in September 2025, reduced Valeric Acid production costs.
• Subdued industrial demand, with production down 1.0% in September 2025, pressured Valeric Acid prices.
• Softened naphtha feedstock costs in Q3 2025 contributed to decreased Valeric Acid manufacturing expenses.
APAC
• In China, Valeric Acid Price Index remained stable in Q3 2025, balancing cost pressures and robust demand.
• Valeric Acid production costs faced upward pressure from surging industrial electricity consumption in Q3 2025.
• Demand for Valeric Acid was supported by 6.5% year-on-year industrial production growth in September 2025.
• Raw chemical materials purchasing price index fell 5.5% year-on-year in September 2025, easing production expenses.
• Fixed asset investment in manufacturing grew 4.0% year-on-year in Q1-Q3 2025, signaling future capacity.
• Total imports and exports grew 4.0% year-on-year in Q1-Q3 2025, influencing Valeric Acid trade flows.
• Strong consumer confidence (89.20 points in August 2025) supported Valeric Acid demand.
• The Valeric Acid price forecast indicates continued stability, balancing cost pressures with sustained sector growth.
Why did the price of Valeric Acid change in September 2025 in APAC?
• Raw chemical material purchasing prices decreased 5.5% year-on-year in September 2025, reducing input costs.
• Industrial production grew 6.5% year-on-year in September 2025, indicating strong Valeric Acid demand.
• Increased industrial electricity consumption in Q3 2025 raised operational costs for Valeric Acid production.
