Does US Crude Oil Prices set for further ease in June 2026? Here is what analysts say

Does US Crude Oil Prices set for further ease in June 2026? Here is what analysts say

Charles Dickens 03-Jun-2026

U.S. crude oil prices are expected to decline further in June 2026, driven by persistent global oversupply and weakening demand. The EIA forecasts WTI falling to mid 80 bbl in 2026 as inventories continue to build, due to rising OPEC+ and non OPEC supply and soft demand growth. May ended with a sharp downturn: crude fell 8.8% in the final week of May 2026 to $92.10/MT, erasing early month gains tied to Hormuz tensions. Gasoline demand slipped 0.8%, jet fuel fell 5.5% YoY, and distillate demand rose only modestly. Imports increased 424,000 b/d, refinery utilization reached 91.7%, and inventories drew sharply but remained overshadowed by global oversupply. With seasonal demand insufficient and speculative sentiment weakening, June is expected to remain bearish unless a major supply disruption emerges.

Crude oil prices in the U.S. are expected to decline further through June ****, pointing towards oversupply and weakening global demand. The EIA projects that global petroleum production will continue to exceed consumption through ****, pushing Brent and WTI lower as inventories accumulate . Similarly, rising OPEC+ and non-OPEC supply as the dominant drivers of the downturn .

For June specifically, these structural pressures align with U.S. market conditions: refinery runs remain high, imports are elevated, and global inventories continue to build. Seasonal demand is insufficient to offset oversupply, and jet fuel consumption remains weak. With geopolitical tensions no longer providing sustained upside and speculative positioning turning defensive, crude oil is likely to remain under downward pressure. Unless a major supply disruption emerges, June is expected to reflect a continuation of late-May weakness, with crude oil prices drifting lower toward the mid-$**s based on...

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