July 2025 & Outlook: Palm Kernel Oil Price likely to Escalate in the U.S. Market

Steering ahead to the second week of July, the American market observes a sustained increase in palm kernel oil prices driven by supply-side limitations, reliance on imports, and increasing demand from different industries. Global palm kernel oil shortages, high freight rates, and sustainability-linked sourcing concerns still limit volumes from leading Southeast Asian producers. Supply disruptions and higher purchasing prices are driving U.S. spot palm kernel oil prices upward—especially in the Gulf and Midwest, where oleochemical industry market leaders have operations. The trend is also expected to continue according to traders.

One of the primary reasons for the palm kernel oil price increase is supply disruption in major producing countries like Malaysia and Indonesia due to El Niño-perpetuated weather irregularities, which are lowering palm fruit production and kernel oil yield. U.S. buyers are receiving lower deliveries, tightening up domestic supply. RSPO certification...