Methanol Prices Gain Across Major Markets as Supply Risks Escalate

Methanol Prices Gain Across Major Markets as Supply Risks Escalate

Philip Pullman 22-Jul-2026
Methanol prices surged across India, China, and Germany during the week of July 17, 2026, driven by three distinct but converging shocks. In India, the expiry of the customs duty exemption on 40 critical petrochemicals as of July 15 reinstated a 7.5% import duty, sharply elevating landed costs. In China, the July 9 re-escalation of US-Iran tensions caused Strait of Hormuz shipping volumes to plummet, reigniting Iranian supply disruption fears and driving a futures-led price surge despite weak downstream demand. In Germany, BASF's Force Majeure declaration at Ludwigshafen and a sharp 13.13% weekly spike in natural gas costs simultaneously tightened regional supply and elevated steam-reforming production expenses, pushing Hamburg FD prices firmly higher.

Methanol prices surged sharply across India, China, and Germany during the week of July **, ****, as three distinct but interconnected shocks — the expiry of India&#**;s customs duty exemption, the re-escalation of US-Iran conflict disrupting Strait of Hormuz traffic, and a supply tightening event at a major European production facility — converged to drive the most significant synchronized methanol price advance across these three markets in ****.

In India, methanol prices gained +**.*** — by far the largest weekly price movement among global methanol benchmarks — following the expiry of the customs duty exemption on ** critical petrochemical products as of July **, ****, with no further notice of extension from the government as of July **. India&#**;s temporary import duty waiver on ** critical petrochemical products expired on July **, ****, reinstating a *.** basic customs duty to...

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