Germany’s R-LLDPE market in September 2025 started with a 1% price rise, fuelled by steady production and demand from packaging and automotive sectors. Prices later dropped up to 3% due to excess supply. ChemAnalyst predicts modest Q4 gains before a year-end decline.
Germany’s R-LLDPE market opened September 2025 on a high, with prices raising about 1% from late August. This early boost in R-LLDPE came from a stable market, where consistent domestic production matched strong demand from packaging and automotive industries. Local R-LLDPE suppliers and importers kept the market flowing smoothly, vying to meet buyer needs, while companies held lean inventories to avoid price swings. Steady bale-to-granule processes and unchanged freight costs kept deliveries on schedule, giving the R-LLDPE sector a confident start.
August 2025, by contrast, saw a steady R-LLDPE market with prices holding flat. Trading was calm as firms dipped into July stockpiles, but solid production ensured no supply gaps. The packaging sector hit a few bumps—some makers of flexible plastics scaled back due to raw material shortages—but automotive demand stepped in to balance out fewer short-term orders. E-commerce growth and a push for recyclable plastics, especially in food and personal care, kept R-LLDPE demand strong through August’s quieter months, setting the stage for September’s initial uptick.
The automotive sector in August faced headwinds, with passenger car production down 21% year-over-year due to holidays and fewer working days. Still, new vehicle registrations grew 5%, and electric vehicle sign-ups skyrocketed 56%, driving R-LLDPE use for parts. This cushioned the production dip and bolstered the early September optimism for R-LLDPE.
Weekly R-LLDPE price shifts told a dynamic story. Mid-month, prices rose 1%, riding a 12-week bullish wave with steady production and buying. The next week saw a slight dip as purchases held firm in a stable market. By late September, a 3% price drop flipped the trend to a 12-week bearish run, sparked by a flood of new post-consumer recycled grades and expanded recycling capacity. Demand softened as silage-wrap orders fell post-harvest and converters cleared stocks for holidays. Shifts to alternatives like recycled LDPE, plentiful inventories, and shifting energy costs weighed on prices, though contracts and recycled content rules lent R-LLDPE some stability.
Looking to Q4 2025, ChemAnalyst expects a 1% R-LLDPE price rise in October, driven by pre-holiday packaging orders that ramp up plant activity and tighter supply from longer import times, letting sellers hold firm on prices. November should bring another 1% increase, with food and e-commerce packaging demand surging and year-end automotive output lifting R-LLDPE use. December, however, could see a 2% drop as manufacturing slows, plants close for holidays, and suppliers destock, pushing competitive pricing. Steady local production and imports should keep major price spikes at bay. Germany’s R-LLDPE market is poised for measured growth before easing at year’s end.
