Wheat prices in Russia have risen in early-mid September 2025, moving up from 2.5% in August led by strong demands from importing countries, and high export fees. The rise in prices in August was largely driven by large harvests, and aggressive export interventions, allowing Russia to fill strong orders from the Arabic and North African area. Wheat prices will continue to rise in September as large importers, like Turkey and Egypt continue to ramp up purchases to assure supplies. Small price increases in export prices have supported prices and was consistent with global demand conditions. No logistical issues slowed wheat exports allowing Russia to reclaim status as top exporter. Analysts expect the price to continue to climb in the second half of September due to increased demand and traders withhold stocks in anticipation for a higher price. A strong foundation of tight supplies and strong demand fundamentals should allow wheat export price to hold in place, benefiting Russia’s agricultural sector.
In the ever-changing world of global agriculture, Russian wheat prices have been on an upward trend throughout the first half of September 2025. Following a 2.5% increase in August, the wheat sector in Russia continues to rise, cementing the country’s position as a top exporter. This rise in prices is due to a combination of strong international demand and strategic changes in export dynamics, making Russian wheat the foundation of global food security.
The increase in wheat prices in August was mainly driven by a good harvest and proactive export policies from the Russian authorities. Despite weather concerns in some regions, yields exceeded expectations, and domestic supply is looking good. This surplus allowed exporters to meet the growing orders from major importing countries, especially in the Middle East and North Africa. As demand for high quality wheat grew, Russian producers took advantage of the situation and increased exports, which directly translated into higher wheat prices. The 2.5% increase not only stabilised farmer’s income but also Russia’s competitiveness in the global wheat market.
Moving into September, wheat prices in the Russian market are still rising, driven by importing countries buying ahead of the winter season. Countries that rely on Russian wheat are increasing their purchases, driven by domestic consumption and stockpiling. This external pull is being amplified by incremental increases in export duties from Russia, a deliberate move to match the growing global demand. By doing so, Russian stakeholders are capturing more value and keeping wheat prices firm and market driven. It’s a virtuous cycle where higher wheat exports sustain the price momentum, benefiting the entire supply chain from Black Sea ports to inland silos.
Also, the wheat market is bullish as seen in trading patterns on major Russian exchanges where wheat futures are following spot price growth. Analysts say logistical efficiency, including rail and sea shipments, has minimized disruptions and wheat is flowing smoothly to international buyers. This has cemented Russia’s position as the leader in wheat exports and shipments are expected to exceed last year’s figures by a big margin. As wheat prices rise, domestic millers and processors are passing on small cost increases to consumers to keep the market balanced.
Looking ahead, market expects wheat prices in Russia to continue to rise in the second half of September. This is based on market momentum that is expected to be driven by demand from key importers like Turkey and Egypt. These two countries are big wheat consumers and are expected to accelerate purchases to replenish their reserves amid geopolitical uncertainties and seasonality. Traders will hold back stocks in anticipation of further price increases and this will tighten short term supply and put upward pressure on product prices. Russian wheat export prices are expected to remain firm as traders are cautious and demand fundamentals are still favorable and Russian wheat is still in demand in global portfolios.
