For the Quarter Ending September 2025
North America
• In United States, the Cis 3 Hexenol Price Index rose quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, driven by rising production costs.
• Production costs increased for Cis 3 Hexenol, with PPI up 2.6% in August 2025 and natural gas prices firming.
• Demand was constrained by near-stagnant 0.1% industrial production growth in September 2025.
• Consumer spending, supported by 5.42% retail sales growth in September 2025, buoyed some end-use markets.
• The 4.3% unemployment rate in September 2025 sustained consumer purchasing power for Cis 3 Hexenol products.
• Declining consumer confidence to 94.2 in September 2025 suggested reduced discretionary spending.
• General chemical demand weakened in Q3 2025, with elevated inventories influencing market dynamics.
• Trade policy uncertainty and potential tariffs led to reduced customer orders in Q3 2025.
Why did the price of Cis 3 Hexenol change in September 2025 in North America?
• Rising input costs, including a 2.6% PPI increase in August 2025, pushed Cis 3 Hexenol prices upward.
• Weakened general chemical demand and declining consumer confidence in September 2025 tempered price increases.
• Increased natural gas prices during summer 2025 contributed to higher Cis 3 Hexenol production costs.
APAC
• In China, the Cis 3 Hexenol Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, influenced by weak industrial pricing and ample supply.
• Cis 3 Hexenol production costs were mixed in Q3 2025; butadiene feedstock declined, but naphtha costs remained elevated.
• Demand outlook for Cis 3 Hexenol was mixed; robust fragrance growth offset contracting manufacturing in September 2025.
• Overall Cis 3 Hexenol demand faced headwinds from a -0.3% CPI year-on-year and a 5.2% unemployment rate in September 2025.
• Ample supply persisted in Q3 2025 due to global overcapacity and butadiene inventory accumulation, impacting market balance.
• China's industrial production expanded 6.5% year-on-year in September 2025, providing some support for chemical demand.
• Retail sales increased 3.0% year-on-year in September 2025, driving demand for consumer goods utilizing Cis 3 Hexenol.
• The Manufacturing Index was contracting in September 2025, indicating reduced industrial activity and lower demand for chemical inputs.
Why did the price of Cis 3 Hexenol change in September 2025 in APAC?
• Weak industrial pricing, evidenced by a -2.3% PPI year-on-year in September 2025, reduced pricing power.
• Ample supply from global overcapacity and butadiene inventory accumulation in Q3 2025 exerted downward price pressure.
• Contracting Manufacturing Index in September 2025, coupled with low consumer confidence, dampened overall demand.
Europe
• In Germany, the Cis 3 Hexenol Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, driven by contracting industrial demand.
• Cis 3 Hexenol production costs trended lower in Q3 2025, as producer prices decreased 1.7% year-over-year in September.
• Industrial production declined 1.0% year-over-year in September 2025, contributing to bearish demand for Cis 3 Hexenol.
• European natural gas prices generally softened year-on-year in Q3 2025, easing energy costs for Cis 3 Hexenol.
• Consumer purchasing power was eroded by a 2.4% year-over-year CPI increase in September 2025, affecting end-use demand.
• The Manufacturing Index was contracting in Q3 2025, signaling reduced new orders for chemical inputs like Cis 3 Hexenol.
• Retail sales grew modestly by 0.2% year-over-year in September 2025, offering slight support to consumer-facing Cis 3 Hexenol applications.
• The unemployment rate remained stable at 6.3% in September 2025, indirectly influencing consumer spending for Cis 3 Hexenol products.
Why did the price of Cis 3 Hexenol change in September 2025 in Europe?
• Weak industrial production, down 1.0% in September 2025, reduced overall demand for Cis 3 Hexenol.
• Lower producer prices, down 1.7% in September 2025, eased production costs, enabling competitive pricing.
• Contracting Manufacturing Index in Q3 2025 indicated fewer new orders, impacting Cis 3 Hexenol demand.
