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Lead Metal Price Trend and Forecast

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Market Overview

For the Quarter Ending September 2025

North America

• In United States, the Lead Metal Price Index fell in Q3 2025, influenced by global market surplus and weak industrial production.

• Lead Metal production costs rose; CPI increased 3.0% (September 2025) and PPI rose 2.6% (August 2025).

• Energy costs for Lead Metal production increased; US natural gas prices rose year-over-year in September 2025.

• Lead Metal demand was supported by strengthening US light vehicle production in Q3 2025.

• Robust retail sales, up 5.42% (September 2025), boosted automotive battery demand.

• Industrial production grew only 0.1% (September 2025), indicating sluggish industrial demand.

• Consumer confidence declined to 94.2 (September 2025), reducing consumer-driven Lead Metal purchases.

• Unemployment rate was 4.3% (September 2025), suggesting a stable but not booming labor market.

• Global refined lead metal market shifted to a surplus in early 2025, impacting price stability.

• US lead ore exports surged in July 2025; import volumes softened, influencing domestic supply.

Why did the price of Lead Metal change in September 2025 in North America?

• Global refined lead metal market surplus created downward pressure.

• Industrial production grew only 0.1%, signaling weak Lead Metal demand.

• Rising energy costs increased Lead Metal production expenses.

APAC

• In China, the Lead Metal Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, influenced by contracting manufacturing activity in September 2025.

• Lead Metal demand faced headwinds from a -0.3% CPI YoY in September 2025, indicating weak consumer purchasing power.

• Despite consumer confidence at 89.6 index in September 2025, automotive sales strengthened in Q3 2025, boosting battery demand.

• Lead smelting costs increased in August 2025, exacerbated by coking coal price rebounds throughout Q3 2025.

• Lead concentrate spot treatment charges settled lower in September 2025, implying higher raw material costs for smelters.

• China's refined lead exports increased significantly in August 2025, while overall refined lead imports declined year-over-year.

• Social inventory of lead ingots increased in July 2025, then experienced weekly depletion in August 2025.

• Primary lead production decreased in July 2025 but edged up in August as some smelters resumed operations.

• A -2.3% PPI YoY in September 2025 reflected weak industrial demand, impacting lead-consuming industries.

• Industrial production grew 6.5% YoY in September 2025, providing some underlying support for lead demand.

Why did the price of Lead Metal change in September 2025 in APAC?

• Weak industrial demand, evidenced by a -2.3% PPI YoY in September 2025, pressured Lead Metal prices.

• Contracting manufacturing activity in September 2025, despite 6.5% industrial production growth, dampened overall demand.

• Increased smelting costs in August 2025 and lower lead concentrate treatment charges impacted producer margins.

Europe

• In Germany, the Lead Metal Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, influenced by contracting industrial activity.

• Lead Metal production costs declined in Q3 2025, as producer prices decreased by 1.7% year-on-year in September 2025.

• Demand for Lead Metal was pressured by a 1.0% year-on-year decline in Germany's industrial production in September 2025.

• The Manufacturing Index showed a contracting trend in Q3 2025, signaling reduced demand for raw materials like Lead Metal.

• Automotive sector output surged in September 2025, providing a key positive demand driver for Lead Metal batteries.

• Global refined lead metal surplus expanded in July 2025, contributing to downward pressure on the Lead Metal Price Index.

• European natural gas prices declined year-on-year in Q3 2025, easing energy-related production costs for Lead Metal.

• Lead concentrate treatment charges faced downward pressure in Q3 2025, further reducing Lead Metal production expenses.

Why did the price of Lead Metal change in September 2025 in Europe?

• Producer prices for industrial products decreased by 1.7% year-on-year, reducing Lead Metal production costs.

• Germany's industrial production declined 1.0% year-on-year, dampening overall demand for Lead Metal.

• Global refined lead metal surplus expanded in July 2025, contributing to a bearish market sentiment.

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List of Lead Metal Suppliers

1. Glencore
2. Henan Yuguang Gold & Lead
3. Doe Run Company
4. Gravita Group
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Product Description

Lead is a heavy, bluish-gray post-transition metal, chemically classified as a basic metal. It is primarily produced by smelting and refining its principal ore, galena (lead sulfide), followed by processes like the Parkes process to remove precious metals. Key properties include high density, a low melting point, excellent malleability, and strong corrosion resistance due to the formation of a protective oxide layer.

Lead is valued for its ability to provide dense, effective shielding against radiation and sound, its durability in harsh environments, and its reliable electrochemical performance. Major applications include electrodes in lead-acid batteries, radiation shielding in medical and nuclear facilities, and as a protective sheathing for power and communication cables. It is also historically used in construction for roofing, flashing, and piping.

Track Lead Metal price trend and forecast in top 10 leading countries worldwide.

Lead Metal Price Trend and Forecast

Ganesha LG ― Analyst – Cost – Product Engineering Wesco ―

Elizabeth Taluga ― Category Manager Leading Paint Manufacturer ―

Gabino Isla ― Director Feno Resinas ―

Ganesha LG
― Analyst – Cost – Product Engineering Wesco ―

Elizabeth Taluga
― Category Manager Leading Paint Manufacturer ―

Gabino Isla
― Director Feno Resinas ―