Natural Rubber (TSR) Gains Nearly 7% in US Market Amid Global Supply Deficits

Natural Rubber (TSR) Gains Nearly 7% in US Market Amid Global Supply Deficits

Jonathan Stroud 16-Jun-2026

US Natural Rubber (TSR) prices rose 6.88% in May 2026 as feedstock costs climbed 4.2%, driven by tyre manufacturer substitution away from war-disrupted synthetic isoprene rubber and persistent global structural supply deficits projected at 600,000–800,000 tonnes annually through 2028. Northeast Asian and African natural rubber prices surged 10.4% and 13.5% respectively, reinforcing elevated US import costs. With Southeast Asian tapping season beginning in May offering seasonal supply relief, prices are anticipated to moderate gradually through Q3 2026, though synthetic substitution demand and EV tyre requirements will sustain a structural premium.

US Natural Rubber (TSR) prices rose *.*** during May ****, as natural rubber feedstock prices climbed *.** during the month, with the price appreciation driven by accelerating tyre manufacturer substitution demand away from war-disrupted synthetic isoprene rubber, persistent structural global supply deficits, and tightening Southeast Asian export availability amid the Middle East conflict&#**;s continued disruption of competing synthetic elastomer supply chains.

The dominant structural driver for Natural Rubber (TSR) was the persistent global natural rubber supply-demand imbalance that has characterised the market throughout ****. Global natural rubber markets project TSR** prices averaging around USD *.**/kg in ****, with structural supply deficits limiting downside risk while uncertain automotive recovery and crude oil trends temper upside, with the supply deficit expected to persist at ***,***–***,*** tonnes per annum through ****. This structural tightness — independent of the Middle East war — provided the underlying cost floor...

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